Jalles Machado S/A (JALL3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$609M (≈ $119M) · ISIN BRJALLACNOR0
What is Jalles Machado S/A really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 296% above our fair value of R$0.6700.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +32.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$0.8700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$1.95 – R$10.40 · fair‑value band R$0.5000 – R$0.8700 · the R$2.65 price screens above the R$0.6700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jalles Machado S/A (JALL3) currently trades at R$2.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.6700, implying the stock looks roughly 295.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$6.04 per share, and 8 of the 21 models we run sit above the R$2.65 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at R$0.2100, and 13 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jalles Machado S/A generated revenue of R$2.3B at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 30.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. Net debt stands at R$3.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$0.5000 (bear case) to R$0.8700 (bull case); at R$2.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −75%, JALL3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly R$0.0203 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$6.04) versus Growth DCF (R$0.2100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Jalles Machado S/A produces, markets, and exports sugar, ethanol, and other by-products from sugarcane. The company offers crystal and organic sugar; hydrated, anhydrous, industrial, and organic ethanol; sanitizing products; and yeast. It also produces clean and renewable energy from cane bagasse and straw.
Full company description
Jalles Machado S/A produces, markets, and exports sugar, ethanol, and other by-products from sugarcane. The company offers crystal and organic sugar; hydrated, anhydrous, industrial, and organic ethanol; sanitizing products; and yeast. It also produces clean and renewable energy from cane bagasse and straw. In addition, the company engages in industrial automation, 4G project agro-industrial control tower, and research and development activiries. Jalles Machado S/A was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Goianésia, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jalles Machado S/A reported revenue of R$2.1B in FY2025 versus R$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$9.5M in FY2025, compounding −60.4%/yr from FY2021.
JALL3 screens 296% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 90,700 | CHF 9,281 | −90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $62.36 | $27.36 | −56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $179.05 | $91.25 | −49% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,115 | CHF 711.91 | −36% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | −43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | −56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | −51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | −12% |
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