PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk, (JAWA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 1.9T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 133.51 IDR to 76.50 IDR (−42.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (110.86 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (42.14 IDR to 110.86 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 58.00 IDR – 300.00 IDR · fair‑value band 42.14 IDR – 110.86 IDR · the 128.00 IDR price screens above the 76.50 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk, (JAWA) currently trades at 128.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 76.50 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 40.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk, generated revenue of 1.6T IDR at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue declined 25.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.5%. Net debt stands at 989B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 42.14 IDR (bear case) to 110.86 IDR (bull case); at 128.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -40%, JAWA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (95.85 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (38.34 IDR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells rubber, coffee, tea, palm oil, and other agricultural produce in Indonesia. It operates through Rubber, Palm Oil, and Others segments. The company was formerly known as Handel Maatschappij J.A. Wattie and Company Limited and changed its name to PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk in 1987.
Full company description
PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells rubber, coffee, tea, palm oil, and other agricultural produce in Indonesia. It operates through Rubber, Palm Oil, and Others segments. The company was formerly known as Handel Maatschappij J.A. Wattie and Company Limited and changed its name to PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk in 1987. PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Sarana Agro Investama.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Jaya Agra Wattie Tbk, reported revenue of 1.7T IDR in FY2025 versus 843B IDR in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was −29.9B IDR in FY2025.
JAWA screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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