Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Jaxsta Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0300 – $0.0500 · fair‑value band $0.0255 – $0.0298 · the $0.0500 price screens above the $0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
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Vinyl Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on delivering technology and media solutions that connect music creators, fans and brands in Australia, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
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Vinyl Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, focuses on delivering technology and media solutions that connect music creators, fans and brands in Australia, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates vinyl.com, an e-commerce platform with music titles; Vampr, a social-professional network and talent marketplace with creators; Serenade, a Web3 pioneer in physical and digital artists collectibles; and Jaxsta, a database of official music credits. It offers Vinyl Media that operates as a media arm and publisher of titles, including Rolling Stone Australia, Variety Australia, Concrete Playground, Mediaweek, Tone Deaf, The Music Network, Refinery29, and TheBrag.com. The company was formerly known as Jaxsta Limited and changed its name to Vinyl Group Ltd in December 2023. Vinyl Group Ltd is based in South Yarra, Australia.
Stock analysis
Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF) currently trades at $0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 96.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0255 (bear) to $0.0298 (bull), the price of $0.0500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Jaxsta Limited reported revenue of A$14.4M in FY2025 versus A$4.8K in FY2021, a compound +638.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$15.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $74.2M · P/S ratio 4.08 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −110% · Return on equity −64.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −77.5% · Operating margin −25.4% · Revenue (TTM) A$18.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −49%, JAXAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0255Fair Value $0.0255Bull $0.0298
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+189.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+415.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+332.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.4% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−62,951.6% (2020) → −70.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−25% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−66% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−25% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth49% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)4.08× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 30
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jaxsta Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JAXAF
Frequently asked questions
Is Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0255 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0500, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JAXAF?
Our model-based fair value for Jaxsta Limited is $0.0255 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.0500.
What is the quality score of JAXAF?
Jaxsta Limited has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0255 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0255, optimistic scenario $0.0298. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jaxsta Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0255, about −49% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0255, optimistic scenario $0.0298. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
Jaxsta Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$18.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jaxsta Limited it is $0.0255 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $0.0500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jaxsta Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, JAXAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0500, fair value $0.0255, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JAXAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0255). For Jaxsta Limited the two are $0.0245 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jaxsta Limited worth?
The market values Jaxsta Limited at about $74.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0255 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JAXAF?
Our models span a range for Jaxsta Limited: cautious scenario $0.0255, base $0.0255, optimistic $0.0298 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jaxsta Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −64.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JAXAF from its 52-week high?
Jaxsta Limited trades at $0.0500, at its 52-week high of $0.0500 and 25% above the low of $0.0400 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0255 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jaxsta Limited?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jaxsta Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $0.0500, calculated fair value $0.0255 (−49%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JAXAF calculated?
We run Jaxsta Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0255, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jaxsta Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.0500. Our model-based fair value is $0.0255, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jaxsta Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0298). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Jaxsta Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
The market capitalisation of Jaxsta Limited is $74.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jaxsta Limited is 4.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
Earnings per share at Jaxsta Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
The net margin of Jaxsta Limited is −110% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jaxsta Limited is −64.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jaxsta Limited is −77.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
The operating margin of Jaxsta Limited is −25.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF)?
Revenue at Jaxsta Limited is growing +49.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +416%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF) generate?
The free cash flow of Jaxsta Limited is −A$9.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jaxsta Limited (JAXAF) hold?
Jaxsta Limited holds more cash than debt, A$1.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026