JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$8.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +5.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from A$53.39 (bear) to A$89.87 (bull), base A$71.90. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$29.92 – A$117.00 · fair‑value band A$53.39 – A$89.87 · the A$81.71 price screens above the A$71.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH) currently trades at A$81.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$71.90, implying the stock looks roughly 12.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, JB Hi-Fi Ltd generated revenue of A$11.0B at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.2%. Net debt stands at A$430M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$53.39 (bear case) to A$89.87 (bull case); at A$81.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -12%, JBH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$101.62) versus Asset-Based (A$9.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JB Hi-Fi Limited retails home consumer products. The company operates through four segments: JB Hi-Fi Australia, JB Hi-Fi New Zealand, The Good Guys, and e&s.
Full company description
JB Hi-Fi Limited retails home consumer products. The company operates through four segments: JB Hi-Fi Australia, JB Hi-Fi New Zealand, The Good Guys, and e&s. It provides computers and tablets; IT accessories and PC parts; headphones, speakers, and audio; smart homes; mobile phones; home appliances comprising large and small appliances, and personal care devices; gaming devices; turntables and vinyl accessories; and collectibles and merchandise, such as trading cards. The company also offers outdoors and travel products, including electric scooters and accessories, garden and outdoor living, and travel products; smart watches, fitness trackers, smart rings, fitness equipment, smart drink bottles, massagers, heat pads, smart scales and health monitors, air treatment, and sleep solutions; drones and cameras; office supplies comprising writing, stationery, notebooks, journals, planners, office tech, office furniture, and filing and storage products; and content creator gear. Additionally, it provides installation services for TV, projector, audio, computer, mobile, tablet, smart home, Wi-Fi, and home appliances; mobile services that include mobile plans; trade in services; home appliance delivery services; and information technology services. The company sells its products through branded retail store network comprising JB Hi-Fi/JB Hi-Fi Home stores in Australia; JB Hi-Fi stores in New Zealand; e&s stores in Australia; and The Good Guys stores in Australia, as well as online. JB Hi-Fi Limited was founded in 1974 and is based in Southbank, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
JB Hi-Fi Ltd reported revenue of A$10.6B in FY2025 versus A$8.9B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$462M in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
JBH screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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