JDC Group (JDC) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · DE · Market cap €302M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €6.96 to €6.68 (−4.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €12.95 – €32.00 · fair‑value band €5.01 – €8.35 · the €23.80 price screens above the €6.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
JDC Group (JDC) currently trades at €23.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.68, implying the stock looks roughly 71.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, JDC Group generated revenue of €259M at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at €58.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.01 (bear case) to €8.35 (bull case); at €23.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -72%, JDC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€13.26) versus Asset-Based (€3.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JDC Group AG operates as a financial services company in Germany and Austria. It operates through two segments, Advisortech and Advisory.
Full company description
JDC Group AG operates as a financial services company in Germany and Austria. It operates through two segments, Advisortech and Advisory. The Advisortech segment offers a digital platform for insurance, investment funds, and other financial products and services under the Jung, DMS & Cie., MORGEN & MORGEN, allesmeins, Top Ten, and Geld.de brand names; investment funds; closed-end funds; and insurance policies and certificates, as well as other services related to investment advice. This segment distributes its financial products through independent financial advisers and brokers. The Advisory segment provides insurance, investments, and financing services. It also provides insurance, securities, and material values products. The company was formerly known as Aragon AG and changed its name to JDC Group AG in July 2015. JDC Group AG was founded in 2004 and is based in Wiesbaden, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
JDC Group reported revenue of €250M in FY2025 versus €147M in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was €9.1M in FY2025, compounding +77.8%/yr from FY2021.
JDC screens 72% overvalued. Compare with ORIX Corporation →
Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $40.31 | $35.05 | -13% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,065 | ₹682.29 | -67% |
| Yuanta Financial Holding 2885 | 66.70 TWD | 35.75 TWD | -46% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.94 | ¥18.92 | +46% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.34 | ¥17.96 | +74% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.80 | ¥5.78 | -15% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹399.25 | ₹176.15 | -56% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $152.69 | $32.75 | -79% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $98.49 | $76.48 | -22% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.77 | ¥9.27 | +19% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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