Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Jadestone Energy plc $0.16, price $0.47, upside -65.8%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2000 – $0.8900 · fair‑value band $0.1300 – $0.2500 · the $0.4683 price screens above the $0.1600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Jadestone Energy plc operates as an independent oil and gas development and production company in Australia, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Vietnam. The company is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF) currently trades at $0.4683, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1600, 65.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.4800 per share, and 4 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.4683 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1400, and 8 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1300 (bear) to $0.2500 (bull), the price of $0.4683 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Jadestone Energy plc reported revenue of $408M in FY2025 versus $340M in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$111M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $255M · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2800 · Net margin −27.1% · Return on equity 53.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin −6.9% · Revenue (TTM) $414M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −66%, JDSEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1300Fair Value $0.1600Bull $0.2500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.8% (2020) → 3.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+27.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +24.4% a year for the price and +3.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 293 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Below median
Fair Value upside−65.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−2.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−37.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.62× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF30.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)13· sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 72
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jadestone Energy plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JDSEF
Frequently asked questions
Is Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1600 versus a price of $0.4683, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JDSEF?
Our model-based fair value for Jadestone Energy plc is $0.1600 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4683.
What is the quality score of JDSEF?
Jadestone Energy plc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1600 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jadestone Energy plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1600, about −66% upside versus a price of $0.4683 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1300, optimistic scenario $0.2500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
Jadestone Energy plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $414M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jadestone Energy plc would have to grow free cash flow by +27.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JDSEF use?
Our models discount Jadestone Energy plc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jadestone Energy plc that is +27.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jadestone Energy plc grew +13.4 % a year. The price currently implies +27.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jadestone Energy plc (+27.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.30 %: that much free cash flow Jadestone Energy plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jadestone Energy plc it is $0.1600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.4683. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jadestone Energy plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JDSEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.4683, fair value $0.1600, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JDSEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4683); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1600). For Jadestone Energy plc the two are $0.3083 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jadestone Energy plc worth?
The market values Jadestone Energy plc at about $255M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.4683; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JDSEF?
Our models span a range for Jadestone Energy plc: cautious scenario $0.1300, base $0.1600, optimistic $0.2500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.4683). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jadestone Energy plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JDSEF from its 52-week high?
Jadestone Energy plc trades at $0.4683, at its 52-week high of $0.4683 and 127% above the low of $0.2065 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jadestone Energy plc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jadestone Energy plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.4683, calculated fair value $0.1600 (−66%), Quality Score 38/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JDSEF calculated?
We run Jadestone Energy plc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Jadestone Energy plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.4683. Our model-based fair value is $0.1600, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jadestone Energy plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1300 to $0.2500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Jadestone Energy plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
The market capitalisation of Jadestone Energy plc is $255M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jadestone Energy plc is 0.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
Earnings per share at Jadestone Energy plc are $−0.2800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
The net margin of Jadestone Energy plc is −27.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jadestone Energy plc is 53.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jadestone Energy plc is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
The operating margin of Jadestone Energy plc is −6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF)?
Revenue at Jadestone Energy plc is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Jadestone Energy plc (JDSEF) carry?
The net debt of Jadestone Energy plc is $90.8M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026