Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Jefferies Financial Group Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US47233W1099

Broad data Sep 18, 2026

Jefferies Financial Group Inc

JEF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $47.57 · Fairly valued (−1%)

!Quality 40/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.2 %/yr)

✓Highly profitable · 23.0% net margin (TTM)

!High debt · negative free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)

!Moderate moat 54/100

!Weak on past: 26 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear $35.68 to bull $47.57 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 40/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.49 – $78.36 · fair‑value band $35.68 – $47.57 · the $47.90 price screens above the $47.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates as an investment banking and capital markets firm in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Investment Banking and Capital Markets, and Asset Management. The company provides investment banking and advisory services for mergers or acquisitions, debt financing, restructurings, and private capital advisory transactions; underwriting and placement services related to corporate debt, municipal debt, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities, equity and equity-linked securities, and loan syndication services; and corporate lending services. It also offers financing, securities lending, and other prime brokerage services; equities research, sales, and trading services; wealth management services; and online foreign exchange trading services. In addition, the company provides investment-grade distressed debt securities, U.S. and European government and agency securities, municipal bonds, leveraged loans, emerging markets debt, interest rates, and credit index derivative products; and manages and offers services to a diverse group of alternative asset management platforms across a spectrum of investment strategies and asset classes. It serves public companies, private companies, sponsors and owners, institutional investors, and government entities. The company was formerly known as Leucadia National Corporation and changed its name to Jefferies Financial Group Inc. in May 2018. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF) currently trades at $47.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.57, implying the stock looks roughly 0.7% fairly valued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $98.11 per share, and 4 of the 9 models we run sit above the $47.90 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $31.02, and 5 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $35.68 (bear) to $47.57 (bull), the price of $47.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc reported revenue of $10.8B in FY2025 versus $8.9B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $710M in FY2025, compounding −19.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $10.7B · P/E ratio 18.2 · P/S ratio 1.19 · EPS (TTM) $3.58 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −1%, JEF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $35.68 Fair Value $47.57 Bull $47.57

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.42 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Residual Income $44.03 $46.23 $48.78 76

Owner Earnings $19.13 $91.83 $244.46 66

Gordon GGM $17.69 $36.79 $58.36 66

All 9 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings $19.13 $91.83 $244.46 66

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $24.88 $173.54 $243.54 63

Lynch FV $68.68 $98.11 $127.54 61

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $17.69 $36.79 $58.36 66

DDM Multi-Stage $17.69 $31.02 $38.61 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple $35.68 $47.57 $59.47 63

P/B Multiple $46.66 $62.21 $77.76 55

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $27.23 $36.49 $54.47 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income $44.03 $46.23 $48.78 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 22

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 34

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 0

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 62

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 76

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 30

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 36

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 21

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 92

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+2.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+14.8%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.2%

Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.4%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+4.3%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+0.9%

Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs 19%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 6%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral

Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

Jefferies Sets Jaw-Dropping S&P 500 Target for 2027 Yahoo Finance · Sep 21, 2026
Analysts Estimate Jefferies (JEF) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for Yahoo Finance · Sep 21, 2026
Jefferies stays bullish on S&P 500, sees 9,000 by end-2027 Yahoo Finance · Sep 20, 2026
Jefferies to Benefit From Increased Investment Banking Momentum, Oppenheimer Says Yahoo Finance · Sep 17, 2026

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 48 · Below median

Fair Value upside −14% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median

Return on assets 1% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 23% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 35% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 2.02× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.2× · Pricier than median

P/B 1.00× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 1.96× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median

PEG 1.45× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)32 · sector 24

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 91

PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 30

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)68 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS	$206.28	$185.57	−10%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS	$976.67	$756.89	−23%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW	$107.79	$102.31	−5%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR	$91.37	$22.69	−75%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD	$104.42	$47.18	−55%
Macquarie Group MQG	A$239.64	A$75.58	−68%
CITIC Securities Company 600030	¥26.45	¥17.68	−33%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211	¥17.50	¥18.62	+6%
East Money Information Co 300059	¥18.09	¥4.77	−74%
CSC Financial Co 601066	¥23.19	¥35.84	+55%

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Jefferies Financial Group Inc · Fair Value
$47.57 −1%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jefferies Financial Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $47.57 versus a price of $47.90, about −1% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of JEF?

Our model-based fair value for Jefferies Financial Group Inc is $47.57 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $47.90.

What is the quality score of JEF?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $47.57 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $35.68, optimistic scenario $47.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Jefferies Financial Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $47.57, about −1% upside versus a price of $47.90 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $35.68, optimistic scenario $47.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).

Does Jefferies Financial Group Inc pay a dividend?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jefferies Financial Group Inc it is $47.57 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $47.90. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 18, 2026, JEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $47.90, fair value $47.57, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of JEF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($47.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($47.57). For Jefferies Financial Group Inc the two are $0.3300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Jefferies Financial Group Inc worth?

The market values Jefferies Financial Group Inc at about $10.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $47.90; our models calculate a fair value of $47.57 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JEF?

Our models span a range for Jefferies Financial Group Inc: cautious scenario $35.68, base $47.57, optimistic $47.57 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $47.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of JEF?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.2 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $47.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 1.0, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 7.3.

What is the PEG ratio of JEF?

The PEG ratio of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is 1.45 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Jefferies Financial Group Inc (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 2.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is JEF from its 52-week high?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc trades at $47.90, about 31% below its 52-week high of $69.47 and 36% above the low of $35.26 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $47.57 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Jefferies Financial Group Inc?

From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $47.90, calculated fair value $47.57 (−1%), Quality Score 40/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of JEF calculated?

We run Jefferies Financial Group Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $47.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Jefferies Financial Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $47.90. Our model-based fair value is $47.57, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Jefferies Financial Group Inc right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Where does the earnings growth of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF) come from?

Earnings per share at Jefferies Financial Group Inc grew +18.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.0 %, EBIT margin +13.1 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Jefferies Financial Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

The market capitalisation of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is $10.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is 1.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

Earnings per share at Jefferies Financial Group Inc are $3.58 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

The dividend yield of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is 3.4% (payout 45.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

The net margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

The operating margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

Revenue at Jefferies Financial Group Inc is growing +35.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF)?

Earnings per share at Jefferies Financial Group Inc are growing +160% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF) generate?

The free cash flow of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is −$1.7B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Jefferies Financial Group Inc (JEF) carry?

The net debt of Jefferies Financial Group Inc is $9.7B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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