Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Julong Holding Limited Class A $0.26, price $3.97, upside -93.5%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $0.2600 · Strongly overvalued (−93.5%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 3y −19.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.6% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers(6/8)
!Moderate moat60/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range $3.05 – $44.80 · fair‑value band $0.2400 – $0.2900 · the $3.97 price screens above the $0.2600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Julong Holding Limited provides intelligent integrated services and solutions to various infrastructure projects in China.
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Julong Holding Limited provides intelligent integrated services and solutions to various infrastructure projects in China. The company offers intelligent integrated solutions, such as intelligent security systems, fire protection systems, parking systems, toll collection systems, broadcasting systems, identification systems, data room systems, emergency command systems, and city management systems. It engages in the design, procurement, installation, integration, and maintenance of the security, access control, and parking systems; installation, integration, and maintenance of the parking and visitor management systems; operation and maintenance of the intelligent integrated systems; and sale of equipment and materials of intelligent systems. The company serves private and public sector clients that include public utilities, and commercial and multifamily residential properties. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Julong Holding Limited is a subsidiary of Datongyi Holding Limited.
Stock analysis
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JLHL) currently trades at $3.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2600, 93.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.4500 per share, and 0 of the 21 models we run sit above the $3.97 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0500, and 21 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2400 (bear) to $0.2900 (bull), the price of $3.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of 34.9M CNY in FY2025 versus 66.5M CNY in FY2022, a compound −19.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $120M · P/E ratio 31.1 · P/S ratio 3.23 · EPS (TTM) $0.1800 · Net margin 10.4% · Return on equity 48.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% · Operating margin 10.9%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 91% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −93%, JLHL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0500 to $0.5700). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.2400Fair Value $0.2600Bull $0.2900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1800 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−79.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.3%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−21.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 12%
Compare Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−93.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)48.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)31.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 17
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JLHL
Frequently asked questions
Is Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2600 versus a price of $3.97, about −93% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JLHL?
Our model-based fair value for Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $0.2600 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.97.
What is the quality score of JLHL?
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2600 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.2900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2600, about −93% upside versus a price of $3.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.2900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares it is $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $3.97. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, JLHL trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.97, fair value $0.2600, a gap of about −93% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JLHL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2600). For Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares the two are $3.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares at about $120M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $3.97; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JLHL?
Our models span a range for Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.2400, base $0.2600, optimistic $0.2900 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $3.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JLHL?
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2600 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 48.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JLHL from its 52-week high?
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares trades at $3.97, about 91% below its 52-week high of $44.80 and 30% above the low of $3.05 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $3.97, calculated fair value $0.2600 (−93%), Quality Score 57/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JLHL calculated?
We run Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $3.97. Our model-based fair value is $0.2600, about −93% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
The market capitalisation of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $120M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 3.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
Earnings per share at Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares are $0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
The net margin of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 10.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 48.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 8.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
The operating margin of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 10.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
Revenue at Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is growing +21.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL)?
Earnings per share at Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares are growing −6.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL) generate?
The free cash flow of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $36.0K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Julong Holding Limited Class A (JLHL) hold?
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $7.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026