Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JLHL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $154M
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 18, 2026, revised from $0.0800 to $0.4200 (+425.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −19.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 94% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.2900 to $0.5500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (14 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range $3.05 – $44.80 · fair‑value band $0.2900 – $0.5500 · the $7.50 price screens above the $0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JLHL) currently trades at $7.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 94.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $252M at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 85.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 60.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2900 (bear case) to $0.5500 (bull case); at $7.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -94%, JLHL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($3.16) versus Asset-Based ($0.3200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Julong Holding Limited provides intelligent integrated services and solutions to various infrastructure projects in China.
Full company description
Julong Holding Limited provides intelligent integrated services and solutions to various infrastructure projects in China. The company offers intelligent integrated solutions, such as intelligent security systems, fire protection systems, parking systems, toll collection systems, broadcasting systems, identification systems, data room systems, emergency command systems, and city management systems. It engages in the design, procurement, installation, integration, and maintenance of the security, access control, and parking systems; installation, integration, and maintenance of the parking and visitor management systems; operation and maintenance of the intelligent integrated systems; and sale of equipment and materials of intelligent systems. The company serves private and public sector clients that include public utilities, and commercial and multifamily residential properties. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Julong Holding Limited is a subsidiary of Datongyi Holding Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $34.9M in FY2025 versus $66.5M in FY2022, a compound −19.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6M in FY2025, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2022.
JLHL screens 94% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 246 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $480.20 | $208.50 | -57% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $152.79 | $44.75 | -71% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $63.08 | $16.85 | -73% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €84.24 | €97.97 | +16% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,405 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 38.91 | kr 25.37 | -35% |
| Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited 000786 | ¥18.73 | ¥31.73 | +69% |
| Moon Environment Technology Co 000811 | ¥42.22 | ¥11.94 | -72% |
| The Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND | ₹3,460 | ₹1,376 | -60% |
| Aditya Infotech Limited CPPLUS | ₹3,343 | ₹763.08 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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