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Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JLHL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $154M

JH Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares logo Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares JLHL · US
Price$7.50
Fair Value$0.4200
Upside-94.4%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/9)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $0.2900 – $0.5500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 18, 2026, revised from $0.0800 to $0.4200 (+425.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −19.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 94% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2900 to $0.5500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (14 months)

$44.80 $3.05 Fair Value $0.4200 Jun 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

14‑month range $3.05 – $44.80 · fair‑value band $0.2900 – $0.5500 · the $7.50 price screens above the $0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JLHL) currently trades at $7.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 94.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $252M at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 85.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 60.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2900 (bear case) to $0.5500 (bull case); at $7.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -94%, JLHL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.4400 $0.4500 $0.4500 72
Growth-Adj P/E $1.98 $2.83 $3.67 68
ROIC Compounder $1.70 $1.86 $1.99 67
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4400 $0.4500 $0.4500 38
Owner Earnings $1.72 $2.06 $2.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.36 $2.03 $3.01 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.36 $2.04 $2.93 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.70 $2.61 $3.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.8800 $1.28 $1.73 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.9200 $1.28 $1.69 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.09 $1.59 $2.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.21 $1.48 $1.66 54
EPV $1.70 $1.86 $1.98 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.80 $3.73 $4.67 63
P/S Multiple $2.27 $3.02 $3.78 58
P/B Multiple $1.62 $2.17 $2.71 55
EV/EBIT $3.11 $4.00 $4.89 53
EV/EBITDA $2.49 $3.17 $3.86 54
EV/Revenue $2.34 $3.16 $3.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2400 $0.3200 $0.4800 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4400 $0.4500 $0.4500 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.9700 $1.40 $9.65 61
ROIC Compounder $1.70 $1.86 $1.99 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.98 $2.83 $3.67 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3.16) versus Asset-Based ($0.3200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $252M
Revenue growth (YoY) +85.4%
Net margin 10.4%
Return on equity 60.0%
Free cash flow $36.0K FY2025
P/E ratio 37.8 as of Aug 18, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 11.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.1900
EPS growth (YoY) +71.7%
Net cash $7.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Julong Holding Limited provides intelligent integrated services and solutions to various infrastructure projects in China.

Full company description

Julong Holding Limited provides intelligent integrated services and solutions to various infrastructure projects in China. The company offers intelligent integrated solutions, such as intelligent security systems, fire protection systems, parking systems, toll collection systems, broadcasting systems, identification systems, data room systems, emergency command systems, and city management systems. It engages in the design, procurement, installation, integration, and maintenance of the security, access control, and parking systems; installation, integration, and maintenance of the parking and visitor management systems; operation and maintenance of the intelligent integrated systems; and sale of equipment and materials of intelligent systems. The company serves private and public sector clients that include public utilities, and commercial and multifamily residential properties. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Julong Holding Limited is a subsidiary of Datongyi Holding Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $34.9M in FY2025 versus $66.5M in FY2022, a compound −19.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.6M in FY2025, compounding −6.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$34.9M
Latest YoY
−79.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−19.3%
Revenue −19.3%/yr
FY22 $66.5M
FY23 $119M
FY24 $174M
FY25 $34.9M
Net income −6.1%/yr
FY22 $4.4M
FY23 $11.2M
FY24 $17.1M
FY25 $3.6M

JLHL screens 94% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JLHL

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 246 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −94% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 85% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.8× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4,279.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 11
PAST 100 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $480.20 $208.50 -57%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $152.79 $44.75 -71%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $63.08 $16.85 -73%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €84.24 €97.97 +16%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,405 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 38.91 kr 25.37 -35%
Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited 000786 ¥18.73 ¥31.73 +69%
Moon Environment Technology Co 000811 ¥42.22 ¥11.94 -72%
The Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND ₹3,460 ₹1,376 -60%
Aditya Infotech Limited CPPLUS ₹3,343 ₹763.08 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JLHL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4200 versus a price of $7.50, about −94% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JLHL?
Our model-based fair value for Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $0.4200 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.50.
What is the quality score of JLHL?
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (JLHL)?
Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $252M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JLHL?
The net profit margin of Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is about 10.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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