The Japan Steel Works, Ltd (JPSWY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $3.9B
The Japan Steel Works, Ltd
JPSWY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.87 – $33.41 · fair‑value band $13.53 – $22.55 · the $24.55 price screens above the $18.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
The Japan Steel Works, Ltd (JPSWY) currently trades at $24.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.04, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Japan Steel Works, Ltd generated revenue of $275B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at $10.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.53 (bear case) to $22.55 (bull case); at $24.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -27%, JPSWY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($33.14) versus DCF Models ($5.65). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. engages in the provision of industrial machinery products, and material and engineering solutions in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. engages in the provision of industrial machinery products, and material and engineering solutions in Japan and internationally. The company offers polyolefin pelletizers, film and sheet manufacturing equipment, and extruders, as well as lifecysle solution such as maintenance concierge, and retrofitting; plastic injection, standard and special purpose injection, magnesium injection, and blow molding machines; and other machinery consists of excimer laser annealing systems, maritime and ground defense equipment, railway products, hot press devices, vacuum laminators, and deposit systems, plastics, mobility, high-performance batteries, coupler and draft gear for rolling stock, gate, overhaul, and electronics, as well as after sale services. It also provides steel casting and forgings, such as reactor and steam generator parts, rotor shafts, turbine casings, die steel, steel rolls for steel mills, and clad steel plates; components for offshore wind power; and steel pressure vessels for hydrogen storage. In addition, the company offers affiliates, vacuum deaeration system, magnet clamp system, mold change molding system, and IoT solutions. Further, the company provides photonics, composite materials, and metallic materials for use in semiconductors and electronic devices, cameras and sensing devices, aircraft and mobility components, and electronic parts. It serves plastic, mobility, batteries, electronic devices, defense, power generation, renewable energy, infrastructure, and photonics business. The Japan Steel Works, Ltd. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Shinagawa, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
The Japan Steel Works, Ltd reported revenue of $291B in FY2026 versus $214B in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $20.4B in FY2026, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2022.
JPSWY screens 27% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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