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Japan Exchange Group (JPXGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $14.4B

JE Japan Exchange Group logo Japan Exchange Group JPXGY · US
Price$13.65
Fair Value$6.58
Upside-51.8%
Quality78/100
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Evidence: High Range $4.93 – $16.72 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +9.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$14.04 $9.50 Fair Value $6.58 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $9.50 – $14.04 · fair‑value band $4.93 – $16.72 · the $13.65 price screens above the $6.58 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Japan Exchange Group (JPXGY) currently trades at $13.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.58, implying the stock looks roughly 51.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 78/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Japan Exchange Group generated revenue of $199B at a net margin of 39.8%. Revenue grew 45.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $58.2B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.93 (bear case) to $16.72 (bull case); at $13.65, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -52%, JPXGY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $199B
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.4%
Net margin 39.8%
Return on equity 23.0%
Free cash flow $113B FY2026
P/E ratio 37.9
More key figures
Operating margin 58.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.3700
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +73.0%
Net cash $58.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Japan Exchange Group, Inc. operates as a financial instruments exchange holding company in Japan. The company engages in the operation of financial instruments exchange markets for trading listed securities and derivatives instruments to market users; publication of stock prices and quotations; provides market facilities for trading of commodity derivatives, physical commodities, and commodity index futures; self-regulatory operations, such as listing examination, listed company compliance, market surveillance, and inspections and examinations of trading participants. The company also provides clearing and settlement, and market-related services for transactions through proprietary trading systems (PTS), over-the-counter derivative transactions, and over-the-counter government bond transactions. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Japan Exchange Group reported revenue of $211B in FY2026 versus $136B in FY2022, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was $83.9B in FY2026, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +11.7%/yr
FY22 $136B
FY23 $134B
FY24 $158B
FY25 $164B
FY26 $211B
Net income +13.8%/yr
FY22 $50.0B
FY23 $46.3B
FY24 $60.8B
FY25 $61.1B
FY26 $83.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Japan Exchange Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JPXGY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
S&P Global Inc SPGI $426.38 $195.25 -54%
CME Group CME $263.80 $136.23 -48%
Moody's Corporation MCO $451.35 $178.72 -60%
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE $140.34 $71.58 -49%
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited 0388 HK$396.40 HK$449.83 +13%
London Stock Exchange Group LDNXF $115.85 $51.23 -56%
Deutsche Börse AG DB1 €244.00 €153.83 -37%
Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ $82.61 $39.88 -52%
MSCI Inc MSCI $608.52 $200.87 -67%
Coinbase Global, Inc COIN 2,709 MXN 1,922 MXN -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Japan Exchange Group (JPXGY) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.58 versus a price of $13.65, about −52% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of JPXGY?
Our model-based fair value for Japan Exchange Group is $6.58 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.65.
What is the quality score of JPXGY?
Japan Exchange Group has a Quality Score of 78/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Japan Exchange Group (JPXGY)?
Japan Exchange Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $199B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JPXGY?
The net profit margin of Japan Exchange Group is about 39.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Japan Exchange Group pay a dividend?
Japan Exchange Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.