Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR (JPXGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR
JPXGY · US
A strong business, but trading 108% above our fair value of $6.90.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR is $6.90 per share against a price of $14.33, so the fair value sits 52% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $6.69 to $6.90 (+3.1%) since Aug 18, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide ($5.17 to $17.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.82 – $14.55 · fair‑value band $5.17 – $17.27 · the $14.33 price screens above the $6.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Analysis
Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR (JPXGY) currently trades at $14.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.90, implying the stock looks roughly 107.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 24 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR generated revenue of ¥199B at a net margin of 39.8%. Revenue grew 45.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥58.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $5.17 (bear) to $17.27 (bull), the price of $14.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at −52%, JPXGY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1,758) versus Asset-Based ($225.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Japan Exchange Group, Inc. operates as a financial instruments exchange holding company in Japan. The company engages in the operation of financial instruments exchange markets for trading listed securities and derivatives instruments to market users; publication of stock prices and quotations; provides market facilities for trading of commodity …
Full company description
Japan Exchange Group, Inc. operates as a financial instruments exchange holding company in Japan. The company engages in the operation of financial instruments exchange markets for trading listed securities and derivatives instruments to market users; publication of stock prices and quotations; provides market facilities for trading of commodity derivatives, physical commodities, and commodity index futures; self-regulatory operations, such as listing examination, listed company compliance, market surveillance, and inspections and examinations of trading participants. The company also provides clearing and settlement, and market-related services for transactions through proprietary trading systems (PTS), over-the-counter derivative transactions, and over-the-counter government bond transactions. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥211B in FY2026 versus ¥136B in FY2022, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥83.9B in FY2026, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +5.4 % · buybacks/dilution +2.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
JPXGY screens 108% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Japan Exchange Group GAAP EPS of ¥28.81, revenue of ¥65.52B; updates FY2026 outlook
- Prediction Markets Emerge in Japan, With Shopping Vouchers
- RavenPack Partners with Japan Exchange Group's SCRIPTS Asia team to Provide AI-Ready Data on Japanese Equities
- Japan Exchange Group FY Net Income Rises
Peer Group
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 53 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Japan Exchange Group Inc ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P Global Inc SPGI | $443.51 | $196.36 | −56% |
| CME Group CME | $281.29 | $145.51 | −48% |
| Moody's Corporation MCO | $493.55 | $192.63 | −61% |
| Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE | $162.33 | $75.95 | −53% |
| Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited 80388 | HK$360.20 | HK$280.07 | −22% |
| Deutsche Börse AG DB1 | €281.30 | €142.42 | −49% |
| Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ | $96.88 | $41.12 | −58% |
| MSCI Inc MSCI | $573.01 | $214.91 | −62% |
| Coinbase Global, Inc COIN | $184.64 | $73.66 | −60% |
| Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE | $310.45 | $136.64 | −56% |
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