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JTEKT Corporation (JTEKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.3B

JC JTEKT Corporation logo JTEKT Corporation JTEKY · US
Price$30.95
Fair Value$23.91
Upside-22.8%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range $17.93 – $29.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $43.02 to $23.91 (−44.4%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$40.76 $13.81 Fair Value $23.91 Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.81 – $40.76 · fair‑value band $17.93 – $29.88 · the $30.95 price screens above the $23.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

JTEKT Corporation (JTEKY) currently trades at $30.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.91, implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, JTEKT Corporation generated revenue of $1.9T at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at $79.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.93 (bear case) to $29.88 (bull case); at $30.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -23%, JTEKY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $12.25 $17.79 $25.31 80
ROIC Compounder $34.83 $40.41 $45.22 72
Growth-Adj P/E $9.88 $14.11 $18.34 68
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.04 $18.27 $27.25 38
5Y Revenue Exit $29.77 $52.08 $80.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $50.10 $89.65 $135.86 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.97 $17.31 $23.84 38
10Y Revenue Exit $21.69 $40.13 $65.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $35.53 $65.47 $105.79 37
10Y P/E Exit $11.25 $16.69 $23.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.04 $14.80 $19.56 54
Lynch FV $3.09 $4.41 $5.74 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.09 $4.41 $5.74 46
EPV $34.83 $40.41 $45.22 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.24 $16.32 $20.40 63
P/S Multiple $9.46 $12.61 $15.76 58
P/B Multiple $9.46 $12.61 $15.76 55
EV/EBIT $62.81 $83.91 $105.00 53
EV/EBITDA $81.40 $108.69 $135.99 54
EV/Revenue $42.18 $60.46 $78.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $23.18 $31.07 $46.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.25 $17.79 $25.31 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $31.72 $29.63 $22.16 61
ROIC Compounder $34.83 $40.41 $45.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.88 $14.11 $18.34 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($40.13) versus Earnings-Based ($4.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.9T
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.5%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 1.8%
Free cash flow $20.2B FY2026
P/E ratio 43.6
More key figures
Operating margin -2.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.7100
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +166%
Net debt $79.9B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JTEKT Corporation manufactures and sells steering systems, driveline components, bearings, machine tools, electronic control devices, and home accessory equipment.

Full company description

JTEKT Corporation manufactures and sells steering systems, driveline components, bearings, machine tools, electronic control devices, and home accessory equipment. The company offers automotive components, such as steering, drive line components, and transmission components; bearings; machine tools, such as grinders, matching centers, and gear skiving/gear cutting machines; programmable logic controllers, including motion controllers; IoE solutions; industrial heat treatment equipment, compressors, assembly and inspection machines, electronic test instruments and equipment, maintenance equipment, inspection testers, and metal-bonded wheel forming machines. In addition, it provides tools comprising dressers, vitrified CBN and diamond wheels, metal and resin wheels, PCD and PCBN, and electroplated wheels; displays consisting of IoE, monitors, electronic counters, digital tachometers and timers, programmable displays, HMI software, and panel computers; bevel, worm, and cylindrical gears; component parts, such as oil seals, shafts, and precision mechanical equipment; sensors, including IoE, water level meter, rotary encoders, and proximity sensors; and storage devices comprising lithium-ion capacitors. The company operates in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Oceania, China, and internationally. JTEKT Corporation was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

JTEKT Corporation reported revenue of $2.0T in FY2026 versus $1.4T in FY2022, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $12.7B in FY2026, compounding −11.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.0T
Latest YoY
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+5.3%
Revenue +9.3%/yr
FY22 $1.4T
FY23 $1.7T
FY24 $1.9T
FY25 $1.9T
FY26 $2.0T
Net income −11.5%/yr
FY22 $20.7B
FY23 $34.3B
FY24 $40.3B
FY25 $13.7B
FY26 $12.7B

JTEKY screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JTEKT Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JTEKY

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 17
FUTURE 23 · sector 23
PAST 7 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JTEKT Corporation (JTEKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.91 versus a price of $30.95, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JTEKY?
Our model-based fair value for JTEKT Corporation is $23.91 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.95.
What is the quality score of JTEKY?
JTEKT Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JTEKT Corporation (JTEKY)?
JTEKT Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9T (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JTEKY?
The net profit margin of JTEKT Corporation is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JTEKT Corporation pay a dividend?
JTEKT Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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