JTEKT Corp (JTEKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of JTEKT Corp $30.95, price $30.95, upside +0.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $13.81 – $40.76 · fair‑value band $22.14 – $30.95 · the $30.95 price screens below the $30.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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JTEKT Corporation manufactures and sells steering systems, driveline components, bearings, machine tools, electronic control devices, and home accessory equipment.
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JTEKT Corporation manufactures and sells steering systems, driveline components, bearings, machine tools, electronic control devices, and home accessory equipment. The company offers automotive components, such as steering, drive line components, and transmission components; bearings; machine tools, such as grinders, matching centers, and gear skiving/gear cutting machines; programmable logic controllers, including motion controllers; IoE solutions; industrial heat treatment equipment, compressors, assembly and inspection machines, electronic test instruments and equipment, maintenance equipment, inspection testers, and metal-bonded wheel forming machines. In addition, it provides tools comprising dressers, vitrified CBN and diamond wheels, metal and resin wheels, PCD and PCBN, and electroplated wheels; displays consisting of IoE, monitors, electronic counters, digital tachometers and timers, programmable displays, HMI software, and panel computers; bevel, worm, and cylindrical gears; component parts, such as oil seals, shafts, and precision mechanical equipment; sensors, including IoE, water level meter, rotary encoders, and proximity sensors; and storage devices comprising lithium-ion capacitors. The company operates in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Oceania, China, and internationally. JTEKT Corporation was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.
Stock analysis
JTEKT Corp ADR (JTEKY) currently trades at $30.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.95, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $46.59 per share, and 10 of the 22 models we run sit above the $30.95 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.51, and 12 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $22.14 (bear) to $30.95 (bull), the price of $30.95 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
JTEKT Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥2.0T in FY2026 versus ¥1.4T in FY2022, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥12.7B in FY2026, compounding −11.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $3.3B · P/E ratio 43.6 · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) $0.7100 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 0%, JTEKY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $22.14Fair Value $30.95Bull $30.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.0% vs −11.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.1% a year for the price and −2.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+0.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets1.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.95 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $30.95, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JTEKY?
Our model-based fair value for JTEKT Corp ADR is $30.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $30.95.
What is the quality score of JTEKY?
JTEKT Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $30.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $22.14, optimistic scenario $30.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JTEKT Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $30.95, about +0% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $30.95 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $22.14, optimistic scenario $30.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
JTEKT Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.9T (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does JTEKT Corp ADR pay a dividend?
JTEKT Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JTEKT Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +14.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JTEKY use?
Our models discount JTEKT Corp ADR at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JTEKT Corp ADR that is +14.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JTEKT Corp (JTEKY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JTEKT Corp ADR grew +10.4 % a year. The price currently implies +14.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JTEKT Corp ADR (+14.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.89 %: that much free cash flow JTEKT Corp ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JTEKT Corp ADR it is $30.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $30.95. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JTEKT Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JTEKY trades below its calculated fair value: price $30.95, fair value $30.95, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JTEKY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($30.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($30.95). For JTEKT Corp ADR the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JTEKT Corp ADR worth?
The market values JTEKT Corp ADR at about $3.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $30.95; our models calculate a fair value of $30.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JTEKY?
Our models span a range for JTEKT Corp ADR: cautious scenario $22.14, base $30.95, optimistic $30.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $30.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JTEKY?
JTEKT Corp ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $30.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
Balance-sheet figures for JTEKT Corp ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to JTEKT Corp ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JTEKT Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $30.95, calculated fair value $30.95 (+0%), Quality Score 59/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JTEKY calculated?
We run JTEKT Corp ADR through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $30.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. JTEKT Corp ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $30.95. Our model-based fair value is $30.95, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JTEKT Corp ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY) come from?
Earnings per share at JTEKT Corp ADR grew −7.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.3 %, EBIT margin −6.0 %, tax rate −3.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of JTEKT Corp ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The market capitalisation of JTEKT Corp ADR is $3.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JTEKT Corp ADR is 0.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
Earnings per share at JTEKT Corp ADR are $0.7100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The dividend yield of JTEKT Corp ADR is 3.7% (payout 161%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The net margin of JTEKT Corp ADR is 0.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JTEKT Corp ADR is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JTEKT Corp ADR is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
The operating margin of JTEKT Corp ADR is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
Revenue at JTEKT Corp ADR is growing +4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JTEKT Corp (JTEKY)?
Earnings per share at JTEKT Corp ADR are growing +166% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does JTEKT Corp (JTEKY) carry?
The net debt of JTEKT Corp ADR is ¥79.9B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026