JTEKT Corporation (JTEKY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $43.02 to $23.91 (−44.4%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $13.81 – $40.76 · fair‑value band $17.93 – $29.88 · the $30.95 price screens above the $23.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
JTEKT Corporation (JTEKY) currently trades at $30.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.91, implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, JTEKT Corporation generated revenue of $1.9T at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at $79.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.93 (bear case) to $29.88 (bull case); at $30.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -23%, JTEKY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($40.13) versus Earnings-Based ($4.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JTEKT Corporation manufactures and sells steering systems, driveline components, bearings, machine tools, electronic control devices, and home accessory equipment.
Full company description
JTEKT Corporation manufactures and sells steering systems, driveline components, bearings, machine tools, electronic control devices, and home accessory equipment. The company offers automotive components, such as steering, drive line components, and transmission components; bearings; machine tools, such as grinders, matching centers, and gear skiving/gear cutting machines; programmable logic controllers, including motion controllers; IoE solutions; industrial heat treatment equipment, compressors, assembly and inspection machines, electronic test instruments and equipment, maintenance equipment, inspection testers, and metal-bonded wheel forming machines. In addition, it provides tools comprising dressers, vitrified CBN and diamond wheels, metal and resin wheels, PCD and PCBN, and electroplated wheels; displays consisting of IoE, monitors, electronic counters, digital tachometers and timers, programmable displays, HMI software, and panel computers; bevel, worm, and cylindrical gears; component parts, such as oil seals, shafts, and precision mechanical equipment; sensors, including IoE, water level meter, rotary encoders, and proximity sensors; and storage devices comprising lithium-ion capacitors. The company operates in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, Oceania, China, and internationally. JTEKT Corporation was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
JTEKT Corporation reported revenue of $2.0T in FY2026 versus $1.4T in FY2022, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $12.7B in FY2026, compounding −11.5%/yr from FY2022.
JTEKY screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
Compare JTEKT Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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