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Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jowell Global Ltd. stock $2.35, price $1.85, upside +27.4%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US · Based in China · ISIN KYG5194C1197

JG Jowell Global Ltd. logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Jowell Global Ltd.

JWEL · US
Undervalued, in an uptrend

The stock costs 21% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $2.35 · Undervalued (21%)
Quality 60/100
Revenue last quarter +88% vs. a year ago.
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −7.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -3.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 17/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$294.86 $0.8691 Fair Value $2.35 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8691 – $294.86 · fair‑value band $1.55 – $2.93 · the $1.85 price screens below the $2.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Jowell Global Ltd. engages in the online retail of cosmetics, health and nutritional supplements, and household products in China.

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The company provides health and nutritional supplements and food, such as immune system regulator products, bone health products, and beauty and supplements; cosmetics, including lipstick, foundation, cream, eyebrow pencil, makeup remover, lip enamel, eye shadow and liner, and mascara; skin care beauty comprising eye cream and mask, sunscreen and skin cream, moisturizing water, lotion, hand cream, cleansing and face cream, essence, and facial mask; and body care products, such as body wash, shampoo, hair conditioner, hand sanitizer, essential oil, toothpaste, mouthwash, and essential oil soap.

It also offers baby and children products, such as moisture cream, shower gel, shampoo, baby toothpaste, and diaper; washing items, including detergent, washing powder and tablet, washing liquid, kitchen cleaner, soap, and pipe dredger; fragrances comprising perfume for men and women; and snacks, roasted sunflower seeds and nuts, biscuits and pastries, health food, beverages, wines, prepared products, kitchen seasoning, dry grain, and oil products.

In addition, it provides electronics comprising large electronics, home and kitchen appliances, and cosmetic electronic appliances; and household products, such as infant products, kitchenware, daily life necessities, and cosmetic products.

Further, the company sells its products through retail stores under the Love Home Store, LHH Store, and Juhao Best Choice Store names. It operates through online marketplace that enables third-party sellers to sell their products to consumers.

Jowell Global Ltd. was founded in 2012 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL) currently trades at $1.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.35, implying the stock looks roughly 21% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $1.55 (bear) to $2.93 (bull), the price of $1.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Jowell Global Ltd. reported revenue of $165M in FY2025 versus $171M in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.4M Micro · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−2.87 · Net margin −3.8% · Return on equity −44.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3.9% · Revenue (TTM) $165M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 27%, JWEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.55 Fair Value $2.35 Bull $2.93
Price $1.85 · Upside +27.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $1.55 $2.35 $2.93 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.55 $2.35 $2.93 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 39
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 33
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 56
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 37
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 77
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.3% (2020) → −3.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Retail · 101 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +27.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −28.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −3.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 87.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.39× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)70 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 61
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
PDD Holdings PDD $83.03 $249.09 +200% vs JWEL
Sea Limited SE $75.73 $129.32 +71% vs JWEL
Prosus N.V PRX €37.56 €51.58 +37% vs JWEL
JD.com, Inc 9618 HK$113.30 HK$150.10 +32% vs JWEL
MercadoLibre, Inc MELI $1,510 $1,830 +21% vs JWEL
Alibaba Group BABA $109.45 $120.46 +10% vs JWEL
DoorDash, Inc DASH $179.67 $197.64 +10% vs JWEL
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $259.30 $140.05 −46% vs JWEL
eBay Inc EBAY $121.96 $60.00 −51% vs JWEL
Coupang, Inc CPNG $16.29 $4.98 −69% vs JWEL

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Jowell Global Ltd.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jowell Global Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JWEL

Frequently asked questions

Is Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.35 versus a price of $1.85, about +27% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JWEL?
Our model-based fair value for Jowell Global Ltd. is $2.35 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.85.
What is the quality score of JWEL?
Jowell Global Ltd. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.35 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.55, optimistic scenario $2.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jowell Global Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.35, about +27% upside versus a price of $1.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.55, optimistic scenario $2.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
Jowell Global Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $165M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jowell Global Ltd. it is $2.35 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $1.85. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Jowell Global Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, JWEL trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.85, fair value $2.35, a gap of about +27% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JWEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.35). For Jowell Global Ltd. the two are $0.5050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jowell Global Ltd. worth?
The market values Jowell Global Ltd. at about $4.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $1.85; our models calculate a fair value of $2.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JWEL?
Our models span a range for Jowell Global Ltd.: cautious scenario $1.55, base $2.35, optimistic $2.93 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $1.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jowell Global Ltd. (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −44.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JWEL from its 52-week high?
Jowell Global Ltd. trades at $1.85, about 54% below its 52-week high of $4.00 and 22% above the low of $1.51 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jowell Global Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Amazon.com, Inc, Alibaba Group, PDD Holdings, Prosus N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jowell Global Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $1.85, calculated fair value $2.35 (+27%), Quality Score 60/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JWEL calculated?
We run Jowell Global Ltd. through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.35 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Jowell Global Ltd. currently trades 21% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.85. Our model-based fair value is $2.35, about +27% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jowell Global Ltd. right now?
Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($1.55 to $2.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Jowell Global Ltd.

How large is the market capitalisation of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
The market capitalisation of Jowell Global Ltd. is $4.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jowell Global Ltd. is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
Earnings per share at Jowell Global Ltd. are $−2.87. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
The net margin of Jowell Global Ltd. is −3.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jowell Global Ltd. is −44.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jowell Global Ltd. is −22.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
The operating margin of Jowell Global Ltd. is −3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
Revenue at Jowell Global Ltd. is growing +87.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL)?
Earnings per share at Jowell Global Ltd. are growing +288% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL) generate?
The free cash flow of Jowell Global Ltd. is −$1.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jowell Global Ltd. (JWEL) hold?
Jowell Global Ltd. holds more cash than debt, $1.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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