Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 33.70, price TRY 135, upside -75.0%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19.00 TRY – 738.50 TRY · fair‑value band 25.15 TRY – 50.30 TRY · the 135.00 TRY price screens above the 33.70 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
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Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells expanded polystyrene, paper lamination, and packaging materials in Turkey. The company offers food packaging, durable packaging, chemical and cleaning packages, automotive packaging, heavy duty packaging, ceramic tiles and sanitaryware packaging, YSM packaging, and paper bag products.
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Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells expanded polystyrene, paper lamination, and packaging materials in Turkey. The company offers food packaging, durable packaging, chemical and cleaning packages, automotive packaging, heavy duty packaging, ceramic tiles and sanitaryware packaging, YSM packaging, and paper bag products. It serves food and agriculture, fresh fruits, vegetables, fats and oils, meat, fish, eggs, beverages, beverages, chemical products, consumer goods, textiles and apparel, and ceramics industries. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Izmir, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM) currently trades at 135.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.70 TRY, 75.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 92.95 TRY per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 135.00 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 33.70 TRY, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 25.15 TRY (bear) to 50.30 TRY (bull), the price of 135.00 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 1.8B TRY in FY2024 versus 232M TRY in FY2020, a compound +65.9%/yr. Reported net income was −102M TRY in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 2.7B TRY (≈ $54.9M) · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) −5.62 TRY · Net margin −5.8% · Return on equity −19.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% · Operating margin −0.6% · Revenue (TTM) 2.1B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −75%, KAPLM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 25.15 TRYFair Value 33.70 TRYBull 50.30 TRY
Price 135.00 TRY · Upside -75.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.6%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2019) → 0.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−75.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−16.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−0.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23.2% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.03× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 49
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KAPLM
Frequently asked questions
Is Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.70 TRY versus a price of 135.00 TRY, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KAPLM?
Our model-based fair value for Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 33.70 TRY (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 135.00 TRY.
What is the quality score of KAPLM?
Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.70 TRY (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 25.15 TRY, optimistic scenario 50.30 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.70 TRY, about −75% upside versus a price of 135.00 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 25.15 TRY, optimistic scenario 50.30 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 33.70 TRY per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of 135.00 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, KAPLM trades above its calculated fair value: price 135.00 TRY, fair value 33.70 TRY, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KAPLM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (135.00 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.70 TRY). For Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 101.30 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 2.7B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is 135.00 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 33.70 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KAPLM?
Our models span a range for Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 25.15 TRY, base 33.70 TRY, optimistic 50.30 TRY per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price 135.00 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity −19.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KAPLM from its 52-week high?
Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 135.00 TRY, about 82% below its 52-week high of 738.50 TRY and 5% above the low of 128.70 TRY (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.70 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price 135.00 TRY, calculated fair value 33.70 TRY (−75%), Quality Score 41/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KAPLM calculated?
We run Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.70 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 135.00 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 33.70 TRY, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (50.30 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (25.15 TRY to 50.30 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
The market capitalisation of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 2.7B TRY (≈ $54.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 1.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
Earnings per share at Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are −5.62 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
The net margin of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −5.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −19.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
The operating margin of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
Revenue at Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −23.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +55.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM)?
Earnings per share at Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing +11.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM) generate?
The free cash flow of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −310M TRY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KAPLM) carry?
The net debt of Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 262M TRY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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