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KBC Group (KBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · BE · Market cap €50.0B

KG KBC Group KBC · BR
Price€127.20
Fair Value€116.93
Upside-8.1%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 29.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.04% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range €87.70 – €146.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€127.70 €35.69 Fair Value €116.93 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €35.69 – €127.70 · fair‑value band €87.70 – €146.16 · the €127.20 price screens above the €116.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

KBC Group (KBC) currently trades at €127.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €116.93, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, KBC Group generated revenue of €12.1B at a net margin of 29.6%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €6.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €87.70 (bear case) to €146.16 (bull case); at €127.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -8%, KBC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €117.99 €150.53 €195.29 80
Residual Income €66.59 €80.01 €158.47 76
Rev-Margin DCF €129.05 €181.20 €237.49 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €115.88 €151.17 €202.00 38
Owner Earnings €112.11 €145.66 €194.00 31
5Y Revenue Exit €129.05 €180.81 €245.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €136.86 €194.81 €260.05 41
5Y P/E Exit €142.58 €205.07 €267.93 38
10Y Revenue Exit €120.43 €165.87 €223.28 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €128.32 €175.37 €234.18 37
10Y P/E Exit €131.91 €182.34 €239.96 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €61.16 €150.57 €194.97 54
PEG = 1.0 €27.14 €38.77 €50.40 46
EPV €124.97 €139.26 €151.76 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €38.10 €69.92 €112.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage €38.10 €57.36 €78.35 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €134.92 €179.89 €224.87 63
P/S Multiple €110.79 €147.72 €184.65 58
P/B Multiple €114.68 €152.91 €191.14 55
EV/EBIT €195.13 €247.09 €299.04 53
EV/EBITDA €163.98 €205.55 €247.12 54
EV/Revenue €142.67 €186.98 €231.30 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €35.17 €47.13 €70.35 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €117.99 €150.53 €195.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF €129.05 €181.20 €237.49 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €66.59 €80.01 €158.47 76
ROIC Compounder €128.71 €148.49 €169.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €103.89 €148.41 €192.93 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€179.89) versus Asset-Based (€47.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €12.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin 29.6%
Return on equity 13.4%
Free cash flow €2.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 25.8%
EPS (TTM) €8.70
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net cash €6.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KBC Group NV, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking, insurance, and asset management services in Belgium, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Slovakia.

Full company description

KBC Group NV, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking, insurance, and asset management services in Belgium, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Slovakia. The company offers demand deposits, time deposits, and savings and current accounts; home and mortgage loans; home insurance; consumer finance and SME funding services, investment fund, and life and non-life insurance; cash management, payments, trade finance, leasing, corporate finance, money and capital market products; and other financial services, such as factoring and stockbroking services. It also provides digital and mobile banking services. In addition, the company engages in the credit institution, software, driving school/roadside assistance business. It primarily serves retail, private banking, small and medium sized enterprises, and mid-cap clients. The company was formerly known as KBC Bank and Insurance Holding Company NV and changed its name to KBC Group NV in March 2005. KBC Group NV was incorporated in 1935 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KBC Group reported revenue of €23.4B in FY2025 versus €9.3B in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was €3.6B in FY2025, compounding +8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€23.4B
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+1.6%
Revenue +25.8%/yr
FY21 €9.3B
FY22 €16.1B
FY23 €25.5B
FY24 €25.3B
FY25 €23.4B
Net income +8.1%/yr
FY21 €2.6B
FY22 €2.8B
FY23 €3.4B
FY24 €3.4B
FY25 €3.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KBC Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KBC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 20.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 12.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 39
FUTURE 32 · sector 44
PAST 54 · sector 41
HEALTH 67 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 81 · sector 49

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KBC Group (KBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €116.93 versus a price of €127.20, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KBC?
Our model-based fair value for KBC Group is €116.93 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €127.20.
What is the quality score of KBC?
KBC Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KBC Group (KBC)?
KBC Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €12.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KBC?
The net profit margin of KBC Group is about 29.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KBC Group pay a dividend?
KBC Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.60% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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