Khonburi Sugar Public Company Limited (KBS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 3.6B THB (≈ $108M) · ISIN TH1061010001
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +5.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 63% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (12.05 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (12.05 THB to 21.69 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.03 THB – 6.45 THB · fair‑value band 12.05 THB – 21.69 THB · the 6.35 THB price screens below the 17.35 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Khonburi Sugar Public Company Limited (KBS) currently trades at 6.35 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.35 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 173.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Khonburi Sugar Public Company Limited generated revenue of 10.9B THB at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 5.5B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.05 THB (bear case) to 21.69 THB (bull case); at 6.35 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 173%, KBS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.23 THB per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (24.52 THB) versus Asset-Based (5.52 THB). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Khonburi Sugar Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of sugar in Thailand, Asia, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Sugar Cane, Sugar and Molasses Trading, and Utilities.
Full company description
Khonburi Sugar Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of sugar in Thailand, Asia, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Sugar Cane, Sugar and Molasses Trading, and Utilities. The Sugar Cane segment produces and distributes sugar cane, as well as provides agricultural machines and vehicles, including sugar cane harvesters and tractors to planters. The Sugar and Molasses Trading segment purchases and sells sugar, molasses, and by products. It serves ethanol, food, and beverages industries to produce alcohol and spirits, yeast, monosodium glutamate, animal feed, vinegar, soy sauce, and other seasoning sauces. The Utilities segment is involved in the generation of electricity and steam using bagasse as fuel. It offers pure white and white granulated, raw, natural cane, and double sweet sugar. It also provides knowledge seminars for planters; and engages in agricultural and farming activities. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Khonburi Sugar Public Company Limited reported revenue of 10.9B THB in FY2025 versus 6.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 611M THB in FY2025.
Watch KBS: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 92,700 | CHF 9,485 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $63.01 | $27.36 | -57% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $179.05 | $91.25 | -49% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,118 | CHF 711.91 | -36% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $22.21 | -43% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | -51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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