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Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Kidoz Inc. C$0.11, price C$0.15, upside -26.7%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · CA

KI Kidoz Inc. logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Kidoz Inc.

KDOZ · V

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value C$0.1100 · Overvalued (−26.7%)
✓Quality 72/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +6.9 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -2.2% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 2.5%
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.8200 C$0.1000 Fair Value C$0.1100 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1000 – C$0.8200 · fair‑value band C$0.0800 – C$0.1400 · the C$0.1500 price screens above the C$0.1100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Kidoz Inc. operates provides privacy-first contextual targeting advertising solutions in Canada, Europe, North America, and internationally. The platform incorporates proprietary SDKs and contextual targeting tools, including Kidoz Privacy Shield and Kite IQ, to deliver advertisements. Kidoz Inc.

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Kidoz Inc. operates provides privacy-first contextual targeting advertising solutions in Canada, Europe, North America, and internationally. The platform incorporates proprietary SDKs and contextual targeting tools, including Kidoz Privacy Shield and Kite IQ, to deliver advertisements. Kidoz Inc. provides solutions for app developers to monetize their applications through display, rich media, and video advertisements. The platform includes supply-side platform, demand-side platform, and ad exchange capabilities, and is certified by Google and approved by Apple. The company was formerly known as Shoal Games Ltd. and changed its name to Kidoz Inc. in April 2019. Kidoz Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ) currently trades at C$0.1500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1100, implying the stock looks roughly 36.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$0.2300 per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$0.1500 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.0500, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.0800 (bear) to C$0.1400 (bull), the price of C$0.1500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Kidoz Inc. reported revenue of $18.4M in FY2025 versus $12.5M in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was $457K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$28.2M (≈ $19.9M) · P/S ratio 1.51 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity −5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% · Operating margin −28.2% · Revenue (TTM) $18.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at −27%, KDOZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0800 Fair Value C$0.1100 Bull C$0.1400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF C$0.2600 C$0.4100 C$0.6600 74
5Y EBITDA Exit C$0.1600 C$0.2100 C$0.2600 71
Growth DCF C$0.2600 C$0.4000 C$0.6200 71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$0.2600 C$0.4100 C$0.6600 74
Owner Earnings C$0.1300 C$0.1800 C$0.2700 70
5Y Revenue Exit C$0.1500 C$0.1900 C$0.2400 68
5Y EBITDA Exit C$0.1600 C$0.2100 C$0.2600 71
5Y P/E Exit C$0.1700 C$0.2300 C$0.3000 66
10Y Revenue Exit C$0.1900 C$0.2400 C$0.3000 63
10Y EBITDA Exit C$0.1900 C$0.2500 C$0.3200 64
10Y P/E Exit C$0.2000 C$0.2700 C$0.3500 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.0300 C$0.1400 C$0.1900 61
Lynch FV C$0.0400 C$0.0500 C$0.0700 58
PEG = 1.0 C$0.0400 C$0.0500 C$0.0700 55
EPV C$0.0800 C$0.0900 C$0.0900 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.0800 C$0.1100 C$0.1400 63
P/S Multiple C$0.0600 C$0.0800 C$0.1000 58
P/B Multiple C$0.0600 C$0.0800 C$0.1000 55
EV/EBIT C$0.1000 C$0.1200 C$0.1400 63
EV/EBITDA C$0.1100 C$0.1300 C$0.1500 64
EV/Revenue C$0.0900 C$0.1100 C$0.1300 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0500 C$0.0600 C$0.0900 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$0.2600 C$0.4000 C$0.6200 71
Rev-Margin DCF C$0.1500 C$0.1900 C$0.2400 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.0700 C$0.0700 C$0.0800 68
ROIC Compounder C$0.0800 C$0.0900 C$0.0900 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.0600 C$0.0900 C$0.1200 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.3% (2021) → 2.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−13.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.8% a year for the price.

KDOZ screens 36% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 193 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −26.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −28.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.30× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.07× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)38 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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AppLovin Corporation APP $310.75 $341.83 +10%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €97.86 €145.63 +49%
Omnicom Group OMC $76.15 $114.19 +50%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥4.66 ¥5.71 +23%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.96 €20.99 −16%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $12.60 $43.84 +248%
WPP plc WPP $25.99 $39.72 +53%
Leo Group 002131 ¥4.31 ¥0.6000 −86%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $23.40 $25.74 +10%
Ströer SE SAX €37.34 €41.69 +12%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kidoz Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KDOZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1100 versus a price of C$0.1500, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KDOZ?
Our model-based fair value for Kidoz Inc. is C$0.1100 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1500.
What is the quality score of KDOZ?
Kidoz Inc. has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1100 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0800, optimistic scenario C$0.1400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kidoz Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1100, about −27% upside versus a price of C$0.1500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0800, optimistic scenario C$0.1400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
Kidoz Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kidoz Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -13.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +10.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KDOZ use?
Our models discount Kidoz Inc. at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kidoz Inc. that is -13.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Kidoz Inc. grew +10.2 % a year. The price currently implies -13.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kidoz Inc. (-13.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.10 %: that much free cash flow Kidoz Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kidoz Inc. it is C$0.1100 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$0.1500. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kidoz Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KDOZ trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.1500, fair value C$0.1100, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KDOZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1100). For Kidoz Inc. the two are C$0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kidoz Inc. worth?
The market values Kidoz Inc. at about C$28.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1500; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KDOZ?
Our models span a range for Kidoz Inc.: cautious scenario C$0.0800, base C$0.1100, optimistic C$0.1400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$0.1500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kidoz Inc. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −5.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KDOZ from its 52-week high?
Kidoz Inc. trades at C$0.1500, about 66% below its 52-week high of C$0.4400 and 20% above the low of C$0.1250 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kidoz Inc.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kidoz Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$0.1500, calculated fair value C$0.1100 (−27%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KDOZ calculated?
We run Kidoz Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kidoz Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$0.1500. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1100, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kidoz Inc. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Kidoz Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
The market capitalisation of Kidoz Inc. is C$28.2M (≈ $19.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kidoz Inc. is 1.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
Earnings per share at Kidoz Inc. are C$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
The net margin of Kidoz Inc. is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kidoz Inc. is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kidoz Inc. is −3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
The operating margin of Kidoz Inc. is −28.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
Revenue at Kidoz Inc. is growing +7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kidoz Inc. (KDOZ)?
Earnings per share at Kidoz Inc. are growing −6.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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