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Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kingdee International Software Group $0.11, price $0.99, upside -88.9%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN KYG525681477

Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Kingdee International Software Group

KGDEF · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $0.1100 · Strongly overvalued (−88.9%)

!Quality 56/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.9 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Narrow moat 20/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear $0.0800 to bull $0.1400 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 56/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7490 – $3.70 · fair‑value band $0.0800 – $0.1400 · the $0.9907 price screens above the $0.1100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the subscription and sale of software worldwide. It also provides subscription and software implementation services, software solution consulting, maintenance, upgrade and other supporting services, and other services. In addition, the company designs, develops, manufactures, and sells software and hardware products; and provides software-related and online financial intermediation services. It serves enterprises, government agencies, and other organizations. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF) currently trades at $0.9907, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1100, 88.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.3000 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.9907 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0600, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.0800 (bear) to $0.1400 (bull), the price of $0.9907 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Kingdee International Software Group reported revenue of 7.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was 92.9M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $3.5B · P/S ratio 0.53 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.0% · Operating margin 6.3% · Revenue (TTM) 7.0B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −89%, KGDEF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0600 to $0.7200). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.

Bear $0.0800 Fair Value $0.1100 Bull $0.1400

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $0.3600 $0.6100 $1.15 77

Growth DCF $0.3600 $0.6200 $1.02 76

Owner Earnings $0.1600 $0.2500 $0.4100 75

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $0.3600 $0.6100 $1.15 77

Owner Earnings $0.1600 $0.2500 $0.4100 75

5Y Revenue Exit $0.1600 $0.1900 $0.2100 74

5Y EBITDA Exit $0.4100 $0.7200 $1.13 73

5Y P/E Exit $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.4000 71

10Y Revenue Exit $0.2300 $0.2800 $0.3300 68

10Y EBITDA Exit $0.3900 $0.6700 $1.13 66

10Y P/E Exit $0.2600 $0.3600 $0.5000 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.0300 $0.1500 $0.2100 63

Lynch FV $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0800 61

PEG = 1.0 $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0800 57

EPV $0.0700 $0.0700 $0.0700 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple $0.0800 $0.1100 $0.1400 63

P/S Multiple $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.0800 58

P/B Multiple $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.0800 55

EV/EBIT $0.0700 $0.0700 $0.0700 66

EV/EBITDA $0.4500 $0.5700 $0.7000 67

EV/Revenue $0.0700 $0.0700 $0.0700 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.1800 $0.2300 $0.3500 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $0.3600 $0.6200 $1.02 76

Rev-Margin DCF $0.1600 $0.1900 $0.2300 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.2400 $0.2200 $0.2100 71

ROIC Compounder $0.0700 $0.0700 $0.0700 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $0.0700 $0.1100 $0.1400 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 29

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 71

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 55

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 45

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 70

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 35

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 11

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 7

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 85

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+12.0%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+12.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.9%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.5% a year

Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+14.7%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−24.1%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−25.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 0%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+24.5%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+12.1%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.4% a year for the price and +10.2% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.0%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+14.1%

Projected 2028 (sales)+12.6%

Projected 2029 (sales)+11.1%

Projected 2030 (sales)+9.6%

KGDEF screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 636 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 56 · Below median

Fair Value upside −66.6% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 0.9% · Below median

Return on assets 0.3% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 1.3% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 6.3% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 12.6% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 7.3× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 12.9× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Uber Technologies, Inc UBER	$69.36	$103.69	+49%
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Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP	$261.80	$150.01	−43%
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Datadog, Inc DDOG	$268.70	$32.52	−88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS	$326.70	$225.48	−31%

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Kingdee International Software Group · Fair Value
$0.1100 −89%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGDEF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Kingdee International Software Group · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$0.1100</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−89%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingdee International Software Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGDEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1100 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.9907, about −89% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of KGDEF?

Our model-based fair value for Kingdee International Software Group is $0.1100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.9907.

What is the quality score of KGDEF?

Kingdee International Software Group has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0800, optimistic scenario $0.1400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Kingdee International Software Group stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $0.1100, about −89% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.9907 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0800, optimistic scenario $0.1400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

Kingdee International Software Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Kingdee International Software Group pay a dividend?

Kingdee International Software Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kingdee International Software Group would have to grow free cash flow by +24.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KGDEF use?

Our models discount Kingdee International Software Group at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kingdee International Software Group that is +24.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Kingdee International Software Group grew +15.9 % a year. The price currently implies +24.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kingdee International Software Group (+24.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.18 %: that much free cash flow Kingdee International Software Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingdee International Software Group it is $0.1100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.9907. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Kingdee International Software Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, KGDEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.9907, fair value $0.1100, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of KGDEF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.9907); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1100). For Kingdee International Software Group the two are $0.8807 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Kingdee International Software Group worth?

The market values Kingdee International Software Group at about $3.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.9907; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1100 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KGDEF?

Our models span a range for Kingdee International Software Group: cautious scenario $0.0800, base $0.1100, optimistic $0.1400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.9907). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Kingdee International Software Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is KGDEF from its 52-week high?

Kingdee International Software Group trades at $0.9907, about 52% below its 52-week high of $2.06 and 32% above the low of $0.7490 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1100 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Kingdee International Software Group?

From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Kingdee International Software Group stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.9907, calculated fair value $0.1100 (−89%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of KGDEF calculated?

We run Kingdee International Software Group through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingdee International Software Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.9907. Our model-based fair value is $0.1100, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Kingdee International Software Group right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Kingdee International Software Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The market capitalisation of Kingdee International Software Group is $3.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Kingdee International Software Group is 0.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What is the dividend yield of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The dividend yield of Kingdee International Software Group is 1.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The net margin of Kingdee International Software Group is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Kingdee International Software Group is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingdee International Software Group is −3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

The operating margin of Kingdee International Software Group is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

Revenue at Kingdee International Software Group is growing +12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF)?

Earnings per share at Kingdee International Software Group are growing +152% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Kingdee International Software Group (KGDEF) carry?

The net debt of Kingdee International Software Group is 292M CNY (fiscal year 2017, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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