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Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $175M

KG Kolibri Global Energy Inc logo Kolibri Global Energy Inc KGEI · US
Price$5.09
Fair Value$5.55
Upside+9.0%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.83 – $7.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −1.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.83 to $7.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.57 $0.1600 Fair Value $5.55 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1600 – $9.57 · fair‑value band $3.83 – $7.27 · the $5.09 price screens below the $5.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) currently trades at $5.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.55, implying the stock looks roughly 9.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kolibri Global Energy Inc generated revenue of $60.6M at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 19.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at $47.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.83 (bear case) to $7.27 (bull case); at $5.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 9%, KGEI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $4.24 $4.34 $4.25 76
ROIC Compounder $2.41 $2.86 $3.22 72
Growth-Adj P/E $8.16 $11.66 $15.16 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.01 $20.96 $29.41 54
Lynch FV $7.21 $10.30 $13.39 50
PEG = 1.0 $7.21 $10.30 $13.39 46
EPV $2.41 $2.86 $3.22 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.64 $6.19 $7.73 63
P/S Multiple $1.46 $1.95 $2.44 58
P/B Multiple $5.64 $7.51 $9.39 55
EV/EBIT $3.64 $5.29 $6.93 53
EV/EBITDA $3.87 $5.59 $7.31 54
EV/Revenue $0.0700 $0.6600 $1.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.86 $3.83 $5.71 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.24 $4.34 $4.25 76
ROIC Compounder $2.41 $2.86 $3.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.16 $11.66 $15.16 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($11.66) versus Economic Profit ($2.86). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $60.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.5%
Net margin 22.7%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow −$21.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.9
More key figures
Operating margin 33.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) -31.3%
Net debt $47.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kolibri Global Energy Inc., an energy company, engages in finding and exploiting energy projects in oil and gas in the United States. It develops its Caney Shale oil acreage in the Tishomingo field in the Ardmore Basin, Oklahoma, which produces oil, gas, and natural gas liquids. The company was formerly known as BNK Petroleum Inc.

Full company description

Kolibri Global Energy Inc., an energy company, engages in finding and exploiting energy projects in oil and gas in the United States. It develops its Caney Shale oil acreage in the Tishomingo field in the Ardmore Basin, Oklahoma, which produces oil, gas, and natural gas liquids. The company was formerly known as BNK Petroleum Inc. and changed its name to Kolibri Global Energy Inc. in November 2020. Kolibri Global Energy Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kolibri Global Energy Inc reported revenue of $57.9M in FY2025 versus $19.1M in FY2021, a compound +31.9%/yr. Reported net income was $15.7M in FY2025, compounding −31.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$57.9M
Latest YoY
−22.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.3%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.8%
Revenue +31.9%/yr
FY21 $19.1M
FY22 $48.4M
FY23 $64.4M
FY24 $74.6M
FY25 $57.9M
Net income −31.4%/yr
FY21 $71.0M
FY22 $16.6M
FY23 $19.3M
FY24 $18.1M
FY25 $15.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kolibri Global Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGEI

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.88× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.56× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 45 · sector 14
FUTURE 98 · sector 0
PAST 27 · sector 0
HEALTH 88 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.55 versus a price of $5.09, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KGEI?
Our model-based fair value for Kolibri Global Energy Inc is $5.55 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.09.
What is the quality score of KGEI?
Kolibri Global Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI)?
Kolibri Global Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $60.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KGEI?
The net profit margin of Kolibri Global Energy Inc is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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