King Gen Public Company (KGEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TH · Market cap 3.8B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −14.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4335 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (0.2125 THB to 0.4335 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4900 THB – 2.84 THB · fair‑value band 0.2125 THB – 0.4335 THB · the 1.61 THB price screens above the 0.2890 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
King Gen Public Company (KGEN) currently trades at 1.61 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2890 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 82.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, King Gen Public Company generated revenue of 723M THB at a net margin of -20.8%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.9%. Net debt stands at 180M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.2125 THB (bear case) to 0.4335 THB (bull case); at 1.61 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 229% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -82%, KGEN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
King Gen Public Company Limited engages in transportation activities in Thailand. It provides passenger and goods transportation services. It also engages in manufacturing activities. The company was formerly known as Nation Broadcasting Corporation Public Company Limited and changed its name to King Gen Public Company Limited in December 2022.
Full company description
King Gen Public Company Limited engages in transportation activities in Thailand. It provides passenger and goods transportation services. It also engages in manufacturing activities. The company was formerly known as Nation Broadcasting Corporation Public Company Limited and changed its name to King Gen Public Company Limited in December 2022. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
King Gen Public Company reported revenue of 718M THB in FY2025 versus 395M THB in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −136M THB in FY2025.
KGEN screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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