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PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk (KIAS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 314B IDR

PK PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk KIAS · JK
Price21.00 IDR
Fair Value20.24 IDR
Upside-3.6%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Medium Range 15.61 IDR – 24.88 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 29.62 IDR to 20.24 IDR (−31.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 15.61 IDR (bear) to 24.88 IDR (bull), base 20.24 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

91.00 IDR 10.00 IDR Fair Value 20.24 IDR Feb 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.00 IDR – 91.00 IDR · fair‑value band 15.61 IDR – 24.88 IDR · the 21.00 IDR price screens above the 20.24 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk (KIAS) currently trades at 21.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.24 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk generated revenue of 609B IDR at a net margin of -1.7%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 25.3B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15.61 IDR (bear case) to 24.88 IDR (bull case); at 21.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -4%, KIAS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 183.74 IDR 660.65 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 30.99 IDR 378.55 IDR 74
NCAV (Graham) 764.69 IDR 1,025 IDR 1,529 IDR 50
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 170.78 IDR 689.74 IDR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 20.24 IDR 407.96 IDR 39
10Y Revenue Exit 12.33 IDR 366.53 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 55.34 IDR 37
Multiples
EV/Revenue 241.93 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 764.69 IDR 1,025 IDR 1,529 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 183.74 IDR 660.65 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 30.99 IDR 378.55 IDR 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1,025 IDR) versus DCF Models (20.24 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 609B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net margin -1.7%
Return on equity -1.5%
Free cash flow 34.0B IDR FY2025
Operating margin -9.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.13 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +47.6%
Net cash 25.3B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk engages in production and sale of various ceramic products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ceramic and Roof Tiles.

Full company description

PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk engages in production and sale of various ceramic products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ceramic and Roof Tiles. The company offers floor, wall, granite, mosaic, roof, and vinyl tiles; closet, basin, urinal, fitting, shower, and bathroom furniture; adhesive, grout, and sealant; and kitchen wall and counter cabinets, as well as accessories. It provides its products under the KIA HD, KIA, and IMPRESSO brands. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk operates as a subsidiary of SCG Decor Public Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk reported revenue of 612B IDR in FY2025 versus 552B IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was −10.4B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
612B IDR
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 552B IDR
FY22 648B IDR
FY23 563B IDR
FY24 592B IDR
FY25 612B IDR
Net income
FY21 −5.6B IDR
FY22 6.4B IDR
FY23 −36.2B IDR
FY24 −25.3B IDR
FY25 −10.4B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KIAS

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.68× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 29 · sector 3
FUTURE 0 · sector 9
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 66 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk (KIAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 20.24 IDR versus a price of 21.00 IDR, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KIAS?
Our model-based fair value for PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk is 20.24 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 21.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KIAS?
PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk (KIAS)?
PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 609B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KIAS?
The net profit margin of PT Keramika Indonesia Assosiasi Tbk is about -1.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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