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Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Kinetiko Energy Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 25, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · AU · ISIN AU000000KKO2

KE Thin data Jun 25, 2026

Kinetiko Energy Ltd

KKO · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$0.0680 · Strongly undervalued (+94%)
!Quality 22/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +55.4 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1300 A$0.0300 Fair Value A$0.0680 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0300 – A$0.1300 · fair‑value band A$0.0510 – A$0.0935 · the A$0.0350 price screens below the A$0.0680 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Company profile

Kinetiko Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the shallow conventional gas exploration activities in South Africa. Kinetiko Energy Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO) currently trades at A$0.0350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0680, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0510 (bear) to A$0.0935 (bull), the price of A$0.0350 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Kinetiko Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$102K in FY2023 versus A$10.5K in FY2019, a compound +76.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$73.0M (≈ $51.2M) · Dividend yield 0.0% · Return on equity −5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.9% · Operating margin −2,370% · Revenue (TTM) −A$214K · Revenue growth (YoY) −82.7% · Free cash flow −A$5.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 94%, KKO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0510 Fair Value A$0.0680 Bull A$0.0935
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.4%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.8% (2018) → −3,522.9% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +94% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −83% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.71× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $129.34 $90.15 −30%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.84 HK$39.90 +67%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kinetiko Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KKO

Frequently asked questions

Is Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0680 versus a price of A$0.0350, about +94% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KKO?
Our model-based fair value for Kinetiko Energy Ltd is A$0.0680 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0350.
What is the quality score of KKO?
Kinetiko Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0680 (as of Jun 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0510, optimistic scenario A$0.0935. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kinetiko Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0680, about +94% upside versus a price of A$0.0350 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0510, optimistic scenario A$0.0935. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Kinetiko Energy Ltd pay a dividend?
Kinetiko Energy Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kinetiko Energy Ltd it is A$0.0680 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026), against a price of A$0.0350. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kinetiko Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 25, 2026, KKO trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0350, fair value A$0.0680, a gap of about +94% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KKO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0350); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0680). For Kinetiko Energy Ltd the two are A$0.0330 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kinetiko Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Kinetiko Energy Ltd at about A$73.0M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 25, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0350; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0680 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KKO?
Our models span a range for Kinetiko Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0510, base A$0.0680, optimistic A$0.0935 per share (as of Jun 25, 2026, price A$0.0350). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kinetiko Energy Ltd (as of Jun 25, 2026): return on equity −5.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KKO from its 52-week high?
Kinetiko Energy Ltd trades at A$0.0350, about 57% below its 52-week high of A$0.0810 and 17% above the low of A$0.0300 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0680 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kinetiko Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kinetiko Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 25, 2026: price A$0.0350, calculated fair value A$0.0680 (+94%), Quality Score 22/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KKO calculated?
We run Kinetiko Energy Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0680, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kinetiko Energy Ltd currently trades 94 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0350. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0680, about +94% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kinetiko Energy Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (22/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0510). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0510 to A$0.0935) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Kinetiko Energy Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
The market capitalisation of Kinetiko Energy Ltd is A$73.0M (≈ $51.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the dividend yield of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
The dividend yield of Kinetiko Energy Ltd is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kinetiko Energy Ltd is −5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kinetiko Energy Ltd is −19.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
The operating margin of Kinetiko Energy Ltd is −2,370% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO) generate?
Kinetiko Energy Ltd generates revenue of −A$214K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO)?
Revenue at Kinetiko Energy Ltd is growing −82.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +230%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO) generate?
The free cash flow of Kinetiko Energy Ltd is −A$5.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kinetiko Energy Ltd (KKO) hold?
Kinetiko Energy Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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