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Konecranes Plc (KNCRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $7.1B

KP Konecranes Plc logo Konecranes Plc KNCRY · US
Price$7.85
Fair Value$9.79
Upside+24.7%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.92% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $6.63 – $12.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $9.71 to $9.79 (+0.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($6.63 to $12.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.49 $1.13 Fair Value $9.79 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.13 – $9.49 · fair‑value band $6.63 – $12.64 · the $7.85 price screens below the $9.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Konecranes Plc (KNCRY) currently trades at $7.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.79, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Konecranes Plc generated revenue of $4.1B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $162M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.63 (bear case) to $12.64 (bull case); at $7.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 25%, KNCRY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.07 $8.63 $12.14 80
Residual Income $2.64 $3.47 $11.83 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.40 $8.27 $11.54 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $5.99 $8.89 $13.12 38
Owner Earnings $5.87 $8.71 $12.84 31
5Y Revenue Exit $5.40 $8.24 $11.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.20 $9.71 $13.78 41
5Y P/E Exit $6.14 $9.60 $13.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.42 $8.02 $11.43 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.06 $9.02 $12.89 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.02 $8.94 $12.47 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.86 $8.72 $11.57 54
Lynch FV $1.87 $2.67 $3.47 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.87 $2.67 $3.47 46
EPV $4.20 $4.80 $5.33 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.16 $2.31 $3.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.16 $1.87 $2.44 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.62 $8.83 $11.04 63
P/S Multiple $5.36 $7.15 $8.94 58
P/B Multiple $5.36 $7.15 $8.94 55
EV/EBIT $7.31 $9.63 $11.96 53
EV/EBITDA $7.07 $9.31 $11.56 54
EV/Revenue $5.32 $7.45 $9.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.10 $1.47 $2.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.07 $8.63 $12.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.40 $8.27 $11.54 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.64 $3.47 $11.83 76
ROIC Compounder $4.45 $5.44 $6.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.44 $7.77 $10.10 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.89) versus Asset-Based ($1.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.7%
Net margin 9.6%
Return on equity 21.2%
Free cash flow $500M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.6
More key figures
Operating margin 11.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.4800
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.5%
Net cash $162M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Konecranes Plc manufactures, sells, and services material handling products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through three segments: Industrial Service, Industrial Equipment, and Port Solutions. The Industrial Service segment provides maintenance services for various industrial cranes and hoists.

Full company description

Konecranes Plc manufactures, sells, and services material handling products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through three segments: Industrial Service, Industrial Equipment, and Port Solutions. The Industrial Service segment provides maintenance services for various industrial cranes and hoists. The Industrial Equipment segment offers industrial cranes and wire rope hoists, crane manufacturing components, digital controls, and software and automation; chain hoists, workstation lifting systems, overhead cranes, and cranes and hoists for hazardous environments. The Port Solutions segment provides equipment, services and software, and products, such as ship-to shore cranes, yard cranes, lift trucks, mobile harbor cranes, straddle carriers, and automated guided vehicles. It also offers maintenance, repair and digital services, and spare parts for the container handling industry. It serves general manufacturing metals production, power generation, automotive, pulp and paper, raw materials and chemicals, and container handling industries. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Hyvinkää, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Konecranes Plc reported revenue of $4.2B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $400M in FY2025, compounding +28.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.2B
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+8.0%
Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY21 $3.2B
FY22 $3.4B
FY23 $4.0B
FY24 $4.2B
FY25 $4.2B
Net income +28.4%/yr
FY21 $147M
FY22 $140M
FY23 $276M
FY24 $368M
FY25 $400M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Konecranes Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KNCRY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 66 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 85 · sector 32
HEALTH 93 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Konecranes Plc (KNCRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.79 versus a price of $7.85, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KNCRY?
Our model-based fair value for Konecranes Plc is $9.79 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.85.
What is the quality score of KNCRY?
Konecranes Plc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Konecranes Plc (KNCRY)?
Konecranes Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KNCRY?
The net profit margin of Konecranes Plc is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Konecranes Plc pay a dividend?
Konecranes Plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.92% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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