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Kobe Bussan Co (KOBNF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $5.3B

KB Kobe Bussan Co logo Kobe Bussan Co KOBNF · US
Price$24.10
Fair Value$18.73
Upside-22.3%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.85% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $14.05 – $23.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($23.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$29.57 $21.20 Fair Value $18.73 May 2022 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range $21.20 – $29.57 · fair‑value band $14.05 – $23.41 · the $24.10 price screens above the $18.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Kobe Bussan Co (KOBNF) currently trades at $24.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.73, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kobe Bussan Co generated revenue of $566B at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $101B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.05 (bear case) to $23.41 (bull case); at $24.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -22%, KOBNF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $13.71 $20.58 $31.25 80
Residual Income $5.71 $7.81 $34.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF $13.11 $20.05 $28.68 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.73 $21.07 $32.81 38
Owner Earnings $12.55 $19.10 $29.56 31
5Y Revenue Exit $13.11 $20.16 $29.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $14.19 $22.32 $32.23 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.00 $23.93 $33.85 38
10Y Revenue Exit $12.91 $19.49 $29.09 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.92 $21.00 $31.24 37
10Y P/E Exit $14.43 $22.13 $32.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.06 $24.91 $33.92 54
Lynch FV $6.26 $8.95 $11.63 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.26 $8.95 $11.63 46
EPV $9.30 $10.31 $11.18 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.25 $2.49 $3.78 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.25 $2.16 $2.63 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.05 $18.73 $23.41 63
P/S Multiple $11.37 $15.16 $18.95 58
P/B Multiple $11.37 $15.16 $18.95 55
EV/EBIT $17.14 $21.88 $26.62 53
EV/EBITDA $15.60 $19.83 $24.06 54
EV/Revenue $13.06 $17.41 $21.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.26 $3.03 $4.52 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.71 $20.58 $31.25 80
Rev-Margin DCF $13.11 $20.05 $28.68 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.71 $7.81 $34.02 76
ROIC Compounder $9.83 $11.57 $13.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.81 $15.44 $20.07 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($21.00) versus Dividend Discount ($2.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $566B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 21.7%
Free cash flow $33.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 26.5
More key figures
Operating margin 7.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.9100
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +188%
Net cash $101B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the manufacture, wholesale, and retail food products, and franchise supermarket chain in Japan. The company offers a range of food products through its Gyomu superstores.

Full company description

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the manufacture, wholesale, and retail food products, and franchise supermarket chain in Japan. The company offers a range of food products through its Gyomu superstores. It also operates a chain of buffet restaurants under the Kobe Cook World Buffet brand; a chain of served a-la-carte buffet style BBQ restaurants under the Premium Karubi brand; and a chain of delicatessen shops under the concept of offering everyday dining under the CHISOUNA brand. In addition, the company operates and manages renewable energy power plants, including solar and woody biomass power plants. Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Kakogawa, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kobe Bussan Co reported revenue of $552B in FY2025 versus $362B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $31.9B in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$552B
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+10.4%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 $362B
FY22 $407B
FY23 $462B
FY24 $508B
FY25 $552B
Net income +13.0%/yr
FY21 $19.6B
FY22 $20.8B
FY23 $20.6B
FY24 $21.4B
FY25 $31.9B

KOBNF screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Loblaw Companies Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kobe Bussan Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOBNF

Peer Group

Grocery Stores · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 4 · sector 36
FUTURE 17 · sector 17
PAST 87 · sector 51
HEALTH 92 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 48

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$65.49 C$44.44 -32%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €36.30 €53.50 +47%
The Kroger Co KR $58.82 $28.19 -52%
Woolworths Group WOW A$39.20 A$13.40 -66%
George Weston Limited WN C$100.98 C$63.61 -37%
Coles Group COL A$23.56 A$15.86 -33%
Metro Inc MRU C$93.64 C$94.01 +0%
Carrefour SA CA €16.40 €11.51 -30%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.89 SGD 2.36 SGD +25%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 385.75 TRY 267.12 TRY -31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kobe Bussan Co (KOBNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.73 versus a price of $24.10, about −22% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOBNF?
Our model-based fair value for Kobe Bussan Co is $18.73 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.10.
What is the quality score of KOBNF?
Kobe Bussan Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kobe Bussan Co (KOBNF)?
Kobe Bussan Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $566B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KOBNF?
The net profit margin of Kobe Bussan Co is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kobe Bussan Co pay a dividend?
Kobe Bussan Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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