Koskisen Oyj (KOSKI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · FI · Market cap €211M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €5.69 to €7.36 (+29.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from €5.90 (bear) to €9.56 (bull), base €7.36. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range €5.35 – €9.76 · fair‑value band €5.90 – €9.56 · the €8.44 price screens above the €7.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Koskisen Oyj (KOSKI) currently trades at €8.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.36, implying the stock looks roughly 12.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Koskisen Oyj generated revenue of €374M at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at €23.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.90 (bear case) to €9.56 (bull case); at €8.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -13%, KOSKI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€6.08) versus DCF Models (€0.6800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Koskisen Oyj operates in wood industry in Finland, Japan, Germany, Poland, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Sawn Timber Industry and Panel Industry.
Full company description
Koskisen Oyj operates in wood industry in Finland, Japan, Germany, Poland, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Sawn Timber Industry and Panel Industry. The company processes and produces sawn timber; plywood; chipboard; thin plywood; veneer; chipboard; zero furniture board, zero building, and zero-thin plywood; and particle board products. Additionally, it manufactures briquettes used as biofuel for heating and power plants. It also provides interior solutions for light duty utility vehicles under the Kore brand. Koskisen Oyj was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Karkola, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Koskisen Oyj reported revenue of €355M in FY2025 versus €311M in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was €8.6M in FY2025, compounding −26.3%/yr from FY2021.
KOSKI screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.05 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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