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Koskisen (KOSKI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Koskisen €6.24, price €8.28, upside -24.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · FI · ISIN FI4000533005

K Some data Sep 23, 2026

Koskisen

KOSKI · HE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €6.24 · Overvalued (−25%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.69% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€9.76 €5.35 Fair Value €6.24 Dec 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

46‑month range €5.35 – €9.76 · fair‑value band €5.15 – €8.62 · the €8.28 price screens above the €6.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Koskisen Oyj operates in wood industry in Finland, Japan, Germany, Poland, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Sawn Timber Industry and Panel Industry.

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Koskisen Oyj operates in wood industry in Finland, Japan, Germany, Poland, other European countries, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Sawn Timber Industry and Panel Industry. The company processes and produces sawn timber; plywood; chipboard; thin plywood; veneer; chipboard; zero furniture board, zero building, and zero-thin plywood; and particle board products. Additionally, it manufactures briquettes used as biofuel for heating and power plants. It also provides interior solutions for light duty utility vehicles under the Kore brand. Koskisen Oyj was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Karkola, Finland.

Stock analysis

Koskisen (KOSKI) currently trades at €8.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.24, implying the stock looks roughly 32.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €6.08 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the €8.28 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €1.24, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €5.15 (bear) to €8.62 (bull), the price of €8.28 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Koskisen reported revenue of €355M in FY2025 versus €311M in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was €8.6M in FY2025, compounding −26.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €200M · P/E ratio 37.6 · P/S ratio 0.91 · EPS (TTM) €0.2200 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −25%, KOSKI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €5.15 Fair Value €6.24 Bull €8.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0587 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings €1.44 €2.36 €3.54 76
Residual Income €4.71 €4.60 €3.92 76
ROIC Compounder €2.59 €2.99 €3.32 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €1.44 €2.36 €3.54 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.43 €8.17 €10.95 64
Lynch FV €1.86 €2.66 €3.46 61
PEG = 1.0 €1.86 €2.66 €3.46 57
EPV €2.59 €2.99 €3.32 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.8000 €1.34 €1.74 68
DDM Multi-Stage €0.8000 €1.24 €1.44 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €4.56 €6.08 €7.60 63
P/S Multiple €4.56 €6.08 €7.60 58
P/B Multiple €4.56 €6.08 €7.60 55
EV/EBIT €5.48 €7.55 €9.63 66
EV/EBITDA €8.20 €11.19 €14.17 67
EV/Revenue €4.64 €6.96 €9.28 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.39 €4.54 €6.78 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €4.71 €4.60 €3.92 76
ROIC Compounder €2.59 €2.99 €3.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €3.98 €5.69 €7.39 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−22.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 4%

KOSKI screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)34 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $176.70 $194.37 +10%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $83.02 $101.34 +22%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $79.00 $52.27 −34%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹711.90 ₹201.01 −72%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥11.34 ¥15.06 +33%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$16.13 C$4.54 −72%
Interfor Corporation IFP C$15.24 C$6.43 −58%
Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 ¥2.15 ¥0.5400 −75%
Greenply Industries Limited GREENPLY ₹298.40 ₹100.71 −66%
Guangxi Fenglin Wood Industry Group 601996 ¥2.99 ¥3.01 +1%

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Koskisen · Fair Value
€6.24 −33%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Koskisen Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOSKI

Frequently asked questions

Is Koskisen (KOSKI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.24 versus a price of €8.28, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOSKI?
Our model-based fair value for Koskisen is €6.24 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €8.28.
What is the quality score of KOSKI?
Koskisen has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Koskisen (KOSKI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.24 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.15, optimistic scenario €8.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Koskisen stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.24, about −25% upside versus a price of €8.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €5.15, optimistic scenario €8.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
Koskisen reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €374M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Koskisen pay a dividend?
Koskisen currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Koskisen it is €6.24 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €8.28. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Koskisen stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, KOSKI trades above its calculated fair value: price €8.28, fair value €6.24, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOSKI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€8.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.24). For Koskisen the two are €2.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Koskisen worth?
The market values Koskisen at about €200M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €8.28; our models calculate a fair value of €6.24 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOSKI?
Our models span a range for Koskisen: cautious scenario €5.15, base €6.24, optimistic €8.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €8.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KOSKI?
Koskisen trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €6.24 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 11.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Koskisen (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOSKI from its 52-week high?
Koskisen trades at €8.28, about 15% below its 52-week high of €9.76 and at the low of €8.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.24 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Koskisen?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Koskisen stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €8.28, calculated fair value €6.24 (−25%), Quality Score 52/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOSKI calculated?
We run Koskisen through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.24, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Koskisen itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €8.28. Our model-based fair value is €6.24, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Koskisen right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Koskisen

How large is the market capitalisation of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
The market capitalisation of Koskisen is €200M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Koskisen is 0.91 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
Earnings per share at Koskisen are €0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
The dividend yield of Koskisen is 1.7% (payout 63.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
The net margin of Koskisen is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Koskisen is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Koskisen is 13.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Koskisen (KOSKI)?
The operating margin of Koskisen is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Koskisen (KOSKI)?
Revenue at Koskisen is growing +21.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Koskisen (KOSKI)?
Earnings per share at Koskisen are growing −79.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Koskisen (KOSKI) generate?
The free cash flow of Koskisen is −€518K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Koskisen (KOSKI) carry?
The net debt of Koskisen is €23.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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