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Koito Manufacturing Co (KOTMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.5B

Price$16.33
Fair Value$23.04
Upside+41.1%
Quality87/100
Evidence: Medium Range $17.93 – $28.06

Analysis

Koito Manufacturing Co (KOTMY) currently trades at $16.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.04 — implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 87/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Koito Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of automotive lighting devices, aircraft parts, railway vehicle parts, electrical equipment, and other related products in Japan. The company offers LED and halogen headlamps; fog, led rear combination, high-mounted stop, and side turn signal lamps; interior and exterior lights; capution warning panels, liquid crystal displays, as well as electrical, hydraulic, and mechanical equipment; and ship lights and destination indicator products. It also provides sensor lighting module; dual view machine-vision; and sensor with cleaning systems; BladeScan, an ADB is a headlamp system; and transportation and insurance services. Koito Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.