Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 19.78, price TRY 10.81, upside +83.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range 10.81 TRY – 33.54 TRY · fair‑value band 14.06 TRY – 26.41 TRY · the 10.81 TRY price screens below the 19.78 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of textile products in Turkey and internationally.
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Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of textile products in Turkey and internationally. It offers dresses, sweatshirts, t-shirts, pants, skirts, shirts, blouses, crops, knitwear, cardigans, tank tops, shorts, vests, jackets, leggings, jeans, outerwear, joggers, trousers, sweatshirts, swimsuits, sweatbottoms, sweaters, underwear, boxers, swim trunks, jumpsuits, salopet and beanie products, bikini sets, coats, and cargo products; partywear, sportswear, and lingerie and loungewear products; and accessories, including bags, perfumes, hats, shawls, jewelry and straw products, necklaces, earrings, bracelets, rings, belts, pet clothes, purses, socks and pantyhose products, and hair accessories for women, men, kids, and infants. The coompany also provides license products. It sells its products through wholesale or in retail through its stores, such as franchise, department, corner, and other individual stores operated by franchise holders; and online. Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON) currently trades at 10.81 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.78 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 53.70 TRY per share, and 19 of the 20 models we run sit above the 10.81 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.26 TRY, and 1 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 14.06 TRY (bear) to 26.41 TRY (bull), the price of 10.81 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 17.2B TRY in FY2023 versus 3.9B TRY in FY2019, a compound +44.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B TRY in FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap 10.3B TRY (≈ $211M) · P/E ratio 6.2 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) 1.75 TRY · Net margin 10.5% · Return on equity −10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% · Operating margin 5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 83%, KOTON screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 14.06 TRYFair Value 19.78 TRYBull 26.41 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+32.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+32.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 9%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.4% a year for the price.
Compare Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 229 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+83.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets8.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOTON
Frequently asked questions
Is Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 19.78 TRY versus a price of 10.81 TRY, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KOTON?
Our model-based fair value for Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 19.78 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10.81 TRY.
What is the quality score of KOTON?
Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 19.78 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 14.06 TRY, optimistic scenario 26.41 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 19.78 TRY, about +83% upside versus a price of 10.81 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 14.06 TRY, optimistic scenario 26.41 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.8B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. would have to grow free cash flow by +3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +44.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KOTON use?
Our models discount Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. that is +3.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. grew +44.9 % a year. The price currently implies +3.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (+3.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.23 %: that much free cash flow Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 19.78 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 10.81 TRY. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KOTON trades below its calculated fair value: price 10.81 TRY, fair value 19.78 TRY, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOTON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10.81 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (19.78 TRY). For Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 8.97 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 10.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 10.81 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 19.78 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOTON?
Our models span a range for Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 14.06 TRY, base 19.78 TRY, optimistic 26.41 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 10.81 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KOTON?
Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 19.78 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −10.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOTON from its 52-week high?
Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 10.81 TRY, about 44% below its 52-week high of 19.25 TRY and at the low of 10.81 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 19.78 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, LPP SA, Levi Strauss & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 10.81 TRY, calculated fair value 19.78 TRY (+83%), Quality Score 50/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOTON calculated?
We run Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 19.78 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. currently trades 83 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 10.81 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 19.78 TRY, about +83% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (14.06 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (14.06 TRY to 26.41 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
The market capitalisation of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 10.3B TRY (≈ $211M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
Earnings per share at Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are 1.75 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
The net margin of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 10.5% (fiscal year 2023). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 9.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
The operating margin of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
Revenue at Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +63.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON)?
Earnings per share at Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing −60.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KOTON) carry?
The net debt of Koton Magazacilik Tekstil Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 3.4B TRY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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