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Karoon Energy Ltd (KRNGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $711M

KE Karoon Energy Ltd logo Karoon Energy Ltd KRNGF · US
Price$1.07
Fair Value$2.51
Upside+134.6%
Quality40/100
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Evidence: High Range $1.88 – $3.14 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price +4.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$1.61 $0.6776 Fair Value $2.51 Oct 2022 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.6776 – $1.61 · fair‑value band $1.88 – $3.14 · the $1.07 price screens below the $2.51 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Karoon Energy Ltd (KRNGF) currently trades at $1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.51, implying the stock looks roughly 134.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Karoon Energy Ltd generated revenue of $629M at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue declined 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. Net debt stands at $170M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.88 (bear case) to $3.14 (bull case); at $1.07, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at 135%, KRNGF screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $629M
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.7%
Net margin 20.0%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow $214M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.9
More key figures
Operating margin 40.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.1700
Dividend yield 3.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.6%
Net debt $170M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Karoon Energy Ltd operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in Brazil, the United States, and Australia. The company holds 100% interest in the Santos Basin located in the Sáo Paulo, Brazil. Karoon Energy Ltd was formerly known as Karoon Gas Australia Ltd and changed its name to Karoon Energy Ltd in December 2018. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Southbank, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Karoon Energy Ltd reported revenue of $777M in FY2025 versus $172M in FY2021, a compound +45.8%/yr. Reported net income was $128M in FY2025, compounding +131.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +45.8%/yr
FY21 $172M
FY22 $531M
FY23 $842M
FY24 $847M
FY25 $777M
Net income +131.9%/yr
FY21 $4.4M
FY22 −$88.9M
FY23 $242M
FY24 $251M
FY25 $128M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Karoon Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRNGF

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10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

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Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.93 $21.36 -62%
Diamondback Energy, Inc F1AN34 R$478.77 R$54.03 -89%
Devon Energy Corporation D1VN34 R$212.15 R$39.95 -81%
Woodside Energy Group WOPEF $20.96 $20.68 -1%
EQT Corporation EQT $52.61 $80.10 +52%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Karoon Energy Ltd (KRNGF) undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.51 versus a price of $1.07, about +135% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of KRNGF?
Our model-based fair value for Karoon Energy Ltd is $2.51 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.07.
What is the quality score of KRNGF?
Karoon Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Karoon Energy Ltd (KRNGF)?
Karoon Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $629M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KRNGF?
The net profit margin of Karoon Energy Ltd is about 20.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Karoon Energy Ltd pay a dividend?
Karoon Energy Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.