Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 1.19, price TRY 2.13, upside -44.1%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells candies in Turkey. The company provides soft and hard candy, chewing gum, dragee chocolate, jelly, licorice, and marshmallow products, as well as surprise eggs and toy-containing products.
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Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells candies in Turkey. The company provides soft and hard candy, chewing gum, dragee chocolate, jelly, licorice, and marshmallow products, as well as surprise eggs and toy-containing products. It serves its products under the Bebeto, Cosby, Free Yu, Freeze Crunchy, Dexters, Top Shock, Eksitra, Jelido, Yumy Yumy Gummy Candy, No Suga, and Pompito brand name. Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1994 is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD) currently trades at 2.13 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.19 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 79.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 5.71 TRY per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the 2.13 TRY price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.16 TRY, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.9900 TRY (bear) to 1.35 TRY (bull), the price of 2.13 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 15.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.8B TRY in FY2021, a compound +70.7%/yr. Reported net income was −91.7M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.6B TRY (≈ $93.9M) · P/E ratio 6.7 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) 0.3200 TRY · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9%.
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −44%, KRVGD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.9900 TRYFair Value 1.19 TRYBull 1.35 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2109 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+73.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.7% (2019) → 5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−44.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.2% · Above median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)6.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.32× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.0× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)37· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)78· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)34· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRVGD
Frequently asked questions
Is Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.19 TRY versus a price of 2.13 TRY, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KRVGD?
Our model-based fair value for Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 1.19 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.13 TRY.
What is the quality score of KRVGD?
Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.19 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.9900 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.35 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.19 TRY, about −44% upside versus a price of 2.13 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.9900 TRY, optimistic scenario 1.35 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. pay a dividend?
Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. it is 1.19 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 2.13 TRY. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KRVGD trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.13 TRY, fair value 1.19 TRY, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRVGD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.13 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.19 TRY). For Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 0.9400 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. at about 4.6B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 2.13 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 1.19 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRVGD?
Our models span a range for Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 0.9900 TRY, base 1.19 TRY, optimistic 1.35 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 2.13 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRVGD?
Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.19 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRVGD from its 52-week high?
Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 2.13 TRY, about 37% below its 52-week high of 3.36 TRY and 5% above the low of 2.03 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.19 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 2.13 TRY, calculated fair value 1.19 TRY (−44%), Quality Score 30/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRVGD calculated?
We run Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.19 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 2.13 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 1.19 TRY, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.35 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
The market capitalisation of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 4.6B TRY (≈ $93.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
Earnings per share at Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are 0.3200 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
The dividend yield of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 1.7% (payout 11.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
The net margin of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
The operating margin of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
Revenue at Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −20.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +48.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD)?
Earnings per share at Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. are growing +195% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD) generate?
The free cash flow of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is −720M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (KRVGD) carry?
The net debt of Kervan Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 5.0B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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