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Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Kaveri Seed Company Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · IN · ISIN INE455I01029

KS Broad data Sep 13, 2026

Kaveri Seed Company Limited

KSCL · NSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value ₹474.73 · Overvalued (−34%)
!Quality 53/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.1 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 21.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.70% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!The models disagree: range ₹346.78 to ₹957.23
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

₹1,561 ₹410.78 Fair Value ₹474.73 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹410.78 – ₹1,561 · fair‑value band ₹346.78 – ₹957.23 · the ₹715.85 price screens above the ₹474.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Kaveri Seed Company Limited produces, distributes, sells, and markets seeds in India. The company operates through three segments: Seeds, Micronutrients, and Vegetables.

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Kaveri Seed Company Limited produces, distributes, sells, and markets seeds in India. The company operates through three segments: Seeds, Micronutrients, and Vegetables. Its product portfolio includes seeds for various field crops, such as maize, cotton, sunflower, mustard, sorghum, paddy, pulses, bajra, and wheat; and vegetables, including tomatoes, okra, chilies, watermelon, gourds, and brinjal. The company also engages in the sale of micronutrients, as well as exports its products. It serves farmers, retailers, and distributors. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Secunderabad, India.

Stock analysis

Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL) currently trades at ₹715.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹474.73, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,007 per share, and 9 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹715.85 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹80.43, and 8 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹346.78 (bear) to ₹957.23 (bull), the price of ₹715.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Kaveri Seed Company Limited reported revenue of ₹13.9B in FY2026 versus ₹9.7B in FY2022, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.0B in FY2026, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹46.8B (≈ $491M) · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 2.67 · EPS (TTM) ₹56.95 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 21.2% · Return on equity 18.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −34%, KSCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹346.78 Fair Value ₹474.73 Bull ₹957.23
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹23.77 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹473.01 ₹550.49 ₹618.28 74
Owner Earnings ₹536.32 ₹977.45 ₹1,754 73
ROIC Compounder ₹526.72 ₹721.64 ₹991.44 71
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹536.32 ₹977.45 ₹1,754 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹394.14 ₹1,883 ₹2,591 64
Lynch FV ₹501.48 ₹716.41 ₹931.33 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹501.48 ₹716.41 ₹931.33 57
EPV ₹473.01 ₹550.49 ₹618.28 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹45.87 ₹95.38 ₹151.31 66
DDM Multi-Stage ₹45.87 ₹80.43 ₹100.10 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹739.01 ₹985.35 ₹1,232 63
P/S Multiple ₹307.42 ₹409.90 ₹512.37 58
P/B Multiple ₹739.01 ₹985.35 ₹1,232 55
EV/EBIT ₹577.60 ₹767.42 ₹957.23 66
EV/EBITDA ₹503.08 ₹668.05 ₹833.03 67
EV/Revenue ₹295.08 ₹418.05 ₹541.02 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹172.10 ₹230.61 ₹344.19 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹385.94 ₹530.44 ₹2,082 64
ROIC Compounder ₹526.72 ₹721.64 ₹991.44 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹705.17 ₹1,007 ₹1,310 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.8%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 21 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 9%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → 20%

KSCL screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 176 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −30% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.66× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 3.35× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)94 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)73 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Corteva, Inc CTVA $83.90 $28.49 −66%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$108.80 C$113.30 +4%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥25.45 ¥28.00 +10%
CF Industries Holdings CF $133.07 $161.00 +21%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 126.90 SAR 150.65 SAR +19%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 452.30 kr 623.88 +38%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥29.31 ¥50.49 +72%
The Mosaic Company MOS $25.19 $25.77 +2%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥41.80 ¥38.01 −9%
ICL Group ICL $5.66 $2.72 −52%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kaveri Seed Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KSCL

Frequently asked questions

Is Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹474.73 versus a price of ₹715.85, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSCL?
Our model-based fair value for Kaveri Seed Company Limited is ₹474.73 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹715.85.
What is the quality score of KSCL?
Kaveri Seed Company Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹474.73 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹346.78, optimistic scenario ₹957.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kaveri Seed Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹474.73, about −34% upside versus a price of ₹715.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹346.78, optimistic scenario ₹957.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
Kaveri Seed Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹13.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Kaveri Seed Company Limited pay a dividend?
Kaveri Seed Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kaveri Seed Company Limited it is ₹474.73 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹715.85. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kaveri Seed Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, KSCL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹715.85, fair value ₹474.73, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KSCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹715.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹474.73). For Kaveri Seed Company Limited the two are ₹241.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kaveri Seed Company Limited worth?
The market values Kaveri Seed Company Limited at about ₹46.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹715.85; our models calculate a fair value of ₹474.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KSCL?
Our models span a range for Kaveri Seed Company Limited: cautious scenario ₹346.78, base ₹474.73, optimistic ₹957.23 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹715.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KSCL?
Kaveri Seed Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹474.73 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 13.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kaveri Seed Company Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 18.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KSCL from its 52-week high?
Kaveri Seed Company Limited trades at ₹715.85, about 41% below its 52-week high of ₹1,219 and 2% above the low of ₹705.10 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹474.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kaveri Seed Company Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kaveri Seed Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹715.85, calculated fair value ₹474.73 (−34%), Quality Score 53/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KSCL calculated?
We run Kaveri Seed Company Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹474.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Kaveri Seed Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Kaveri Seed Company Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹346.78 to ₹957.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL) come from?
Earnings per share at Kaveri Seed Company Limited grew +8.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.3 %, EBIT margin +0.6 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Kaveri Seed Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
The market capitalisation of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is ₹46.8B (≈ $491M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is 2.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
Earnings per share at Kaveri Seed Company Limited are ₹56.95 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
The dividend yield of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is 0.7% (payout 8.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
The net margin of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is 21.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is 18.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
The operating margin of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is −30.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
Revenue at Kaveri Seed Company Limited is growing +18.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL)?
Earnings per share at Kaveri Seed Company Limited are growing −7.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL) generate?
The free cash flow of Kaveri Seed Company Limited is −₹1.6B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kaveri Seed Company Limited (KSCL) hold?
Kaveri Seed Company Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹416M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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