KSG Agro S.A (KSG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · PL · Market cap 48.9M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 1.96 PLN to 0.5700 PLN (−70.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7600 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.42 PLN – 5.80 PLN · fair‑value band 0.4300 PLN – 0.7600 PLN · the 3.43 PLN price screens above the 0.5700 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
KSG Agro S.A (KSG) currently trades at 3.43 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5700 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, KSG Agro S.A generated revenue of 17.2M PLN at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue declined 39.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at 14.6M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.4300 PLN (bear case) to 0.7600 PLN (bull case); at 3.43 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -83%, KSG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (2.85 PLN) versus Asset-Based (0.2300 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KSG Agro S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, processes, stores, and sells agricultural products in Ukraine. The company operates through three segments: Crop Farming, Pig Breeding, and Other. The Crop Farming segment produces crops, including sunflower, corn, wheat, barley, and rapeseed, as well as provides land cultivation services.
Full company description
KSG Agro S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces, processes, stores, and sells agricultural products in Ukraine. The company operates through three segments: Crop Farming, Pig Breeding, and Other. The Crop Farming segment produces crops, including sunflower, corn, wheat, barley, and rapeseed, as well as provides land cultivation services. The Pig Breeding segment engages in the breeding of pigs; ownership of Danish purebred sows; and sale of pigs and piglets in live and dead weight. The Other segment is involved in the production of fuel pellets and thermal energy; wholesale trade of crops and other goods; and provision of services to third parties. The company was formerly known as Borquest S.A. and changed its name to KSG Agro S.A. in March 2011. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
KSG Agro S.A reported revenue of 22.1M PLN in FY2024 versus 21.3M PLN in FY2020, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4M PLN in FY2024, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2020.
KSG screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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