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PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, (KSIX) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · ID · Market cap 577B IDR

PK PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, KSIX · JK
Price404.00 IDR
Fair Value144.73 IDR
Upside-64.2%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.1% net margin
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range 108.55 IDR – 180.91 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +43.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (180.91 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (19 months)

565.00 IDR 178.00 IDR Fair Value 144.73 IDR Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range 178.00 IDR – 565.00 IDR · fair‑value band 108.55 IDR – 180.91 IDR · the 404.00 IDR price screens above the 144.73 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, (KSIX) currently trades at 404.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 144.73 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, generated revenue of 105B IDR at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue declined 70.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 108.55 IDR (bear case) to 180.91 IDR (bull case); at 404.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -64%, KSIX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 49.57 IDR 66.83 IDR 97.55 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 54.77 IDR 81.32 IDR 113.56 IDR 67
Residual Income 414.82 IDR 390.90 IDR 301.83 IDR 61
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 47.43 IDR 65.06 IDR 98.99 IDR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 54.77 IDR 80.38 IDR 117.65 IDR 39
10Y Revenue Exit 50.05 IDR 69.26 IDR 90.18 IDR 36
Multiples
P/S Multiple 108.55 IDR 144.73 IDR 180.91 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 108.55 IDR 144.73 IDR 180.91 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 111.24 IDR 146.38 IDR 181.52 IDR 53
EV/Revenue 63.96 IDR 88.88 IDR 113.79 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 295.11 IDR 395.45 IDR 590.23 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 49.57 IDR 66.83 IDR 97.55 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 54.77 IDR 81.32 IDR 113.56 IDR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 414.82 IDR 390.90 IDR 301.83 IDR 61

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (395.45 IDR) versus Growth DCF (66.83 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 105B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -70.7%
Net margin 11.1%
Return on equity 0.9%
Operating margin -41.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -10.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 3
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Indonesia. It develops and sells residential houses, and engages in the waterpark business. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia. PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Badra Arta.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, reported revenue of 132B IDR in FY2025 versus 332B IDR in FY2022, a compound −26.4%/yr. Reported net income was 18.2B IDR in FY2025, compounding −41.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
132B IDR
Latest YoY
−41.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−26.4%
Revenue −26.4%/yr
FY22 332B IDR
FY23 309B IDR
FY24 227B IDR
FY25 132B IDR
Net income −41.6%/yr
FY22 91.2B IDR
FY23 83.6B IDR
FY24 58.7B IDR
FY25 18.2B IDR

KSIX screens 64% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KSIX

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -41% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -71% · Bottom 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 4 · sector 10
HEALTH 0 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, (KSIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 144.73 IDR versus a price of 404.00 IDR, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSIX?
Our model-based fair value for PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, is 144.73 IDR (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 404.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KSIX?
PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, (KSIX)?
PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 105B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KSIX?
The net profit margin of PT Kentanix Supra International Tbk, is about 11.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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