Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Kistos Holdings Plc $4.78, price $3.88, upside +23.2%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range $1.28 – $3.95 · fair‑value band $3.19 – $6.37 · the $3.88 price screens below the $4.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Kistos Holdings Plc focuses on development and production of gas and other hydrocarbon reserves in the United Kingdom, Norway, and the Netherlands. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF) currently trades at $3.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.78, implying the stock looks roughly 18.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $3.19 (bear) to $6.37 (bull), the price of $3.88 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Kistos Holdings Plc reported revenue of $222M in FY2024 versus $412M in FY2022, a compound −26.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.0M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $546M · P/S ratio 2.86 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5700 · Net margin −23.5% · Return on equity −91.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.1% · Operating margin −19.9% · Revenue (TTM) $191M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 23%, KSTOF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.19Fair Value $4.78Bull $6.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+23% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−20% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−22% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity6.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/B14.87× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
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Is Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.78 versus a price of $3.88, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KSTOF?
Our model-based fair value for Kistos Holdings Plc is $4.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.88.
What is the quality score of KSTOF?
Kistos Holdings Plc has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.19, optimistic scenario $6.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kistos Holdings Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.78, about +23% upside versus a price of $3.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.19, optimistic scenario $6.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
Kistos Holdings Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $191M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kistos Holdings Plc it is $4.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.88. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kistos Holdings Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, KSTOF trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.88, fair value $4.78, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KSTOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.78). For Kistos Holdings Plc the two are $0.9000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kistos Holdings Plc worth?
The market values Kistos Holdings Plc at about $546M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.88; our models calculate a fair value of $4.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KSTOF?
Our models span a range for Kistos Holdings Plc: cautious scenario $3.19, base $4.78, optimistic $6.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kistos Holdings Plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −91.8%, debt of 6.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KSTOF from its 52-week high?
Kistos Holdings Plc trades at $3.88, about 2% below its 52-week high of $3.95 and 83% above the low of $2.13 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kistos Holdings Plc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kistos Holdings Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.88, calculated fair value $4.78 (+23%), Quality Score 26/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KSTOF calculated?
We run Kistos Holdings Plc through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Kistos Holdings Plc currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $3.88. Our model-based fair value is $4.78, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kistos Holdings Plc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($3.19 to $6.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Kistos Holdings Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
The market capitalisation of Kistos Holdings Plc is $546M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kistos Holdings Plc is 2.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
Earnings per share at Kistos Holdings Plc are $−0.5700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
The net margin of Kistos Holdings Plc is −23.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kistos Holdings Plc is −91.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kistos Holdings Plc is 16.1% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
The operating margin of Kistos Holdings Plc is −19.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
Revenue at Kistos Holdings Plc is growing −22.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF)?
Earnings per share at Kistos Holdings Plc are growing −74.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF) generate?
The free cash flow of Kistos Holdings Plc is −$40.3M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kistos Holdings Plc (KSTOF) carry?
The net debt of Kistos Holdings Plc is $131M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026