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Kapsch TrafficCom AG (KTCG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · AT · Market cap €78.4M

Price€5.56
Fair Value€4.17
Upside-25.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range €3.11 – €6.23

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Kapsch TrafficCom AG (KTCG) currently trades at €5.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.17 — implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Kapsch TrafficCom AG provides intelligent transportation systems technologies, solutions, and services in Austria, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through two segments, Tolling and Traffic Management. It involved in the implementation, and technical and commercial operation of toll collection systems comprising individual road sections and nation-wide road networks; provision of toll services for business and private customers; and implementation and operation of systems and solutions for traffic control and mobility behavior, as well as related components business. The company offers tolling products, such as on-board unit, roadside radio frequency system, roadside video, vehicle enforcement, smart toll, operational backoffice, image processing suite, enforcement and commercial backoffice, and geo location platform; and traffic management products, including traffic control device, roadside unit, connected vehicle platform, …

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kapsch TrafficCom AG (KTCG) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.17 versus a price of €5.56 — about −25% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of KTCG?
Our 21-model fair value for Kapsch TrafficCom AG is €4.17 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €5.56.
What is the quality score of KTCG?
Kapsch TrafficCom AG has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.