Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited THB 0.09, price THB 0.58, upside -84.5%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.5200 THB – 2.79 THB · fair‑value band 0.0800 THB – 0.1000 THB · the 0.5800 THB price screens above the 0.0900 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited engages in the property development business in Thailand. Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Bang Bua Thong, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) currently trades at 0.5800 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0900 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 544.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.7000 THB per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 0.5800 THB price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0700 THB, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0800 THB (bear) to 0.1000 THB (bull), the price of 0.5800 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited reported revenue of 514M THB in FY2025 versus 992M THB in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6M THB in FY2025, compounding −61.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 541M THB (≈ $16.2M) · P/E ratio 58.0 · P/S ratio 0.41 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 THB · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −84%, KUN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0700 THB to 0.7000 THB). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 0.0800 THBFair Value 0.0900 THBBull 0.1000 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0073 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−47.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−49% vs −26%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.6%/yr over ~8Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+57.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +55.6% a year for the price.
Compare Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.99× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)58.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF1.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA43.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)51· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)29· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KUN
Frequently asked questions
Is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0900 THB versus a price of 0.5800 THB, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KUN?
Our model-based fair value for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 0.0900 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5800 THB.
What is the quality score of KUN?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0900 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0800 THB, optimistic scenario 0.1000 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0900 THB, about −84% upside versus a price of 0.5800 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0800 THB, optimistic scenario 0.1000 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 540M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +57.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KUN use?
Our models discount Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited that is +57.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited grew -8.5 % a year. The price currently implies +57.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (+57.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.46 %: that much free cash flow Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited it is 0.0900 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.5800 THB. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KUN trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.5800 THB, fair value 0.0900 THB, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KUN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5800 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0900 THB). For Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited the two are 0.4900 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited at about 541M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.5800 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0900 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KUN?
Our models span a range for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.0800 THB, base 0.0900 THB, optimistic 0.1000 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.5800 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KUN?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 58.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.0900 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 43.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KUN from its 52-week high?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited trades at 0.5800 THB, about 36% below its 52-week high of 0.9000 THB and 12% above the low of 0.5200 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0900 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.5800 THB, calculated fair value 0.0900 THB (−84%), Quality Score 30/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KUN calculated?
We run Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0900 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.5800 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.0900 THB, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1000 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) come from?
Earnings per share at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited grew −9.4 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.4 %, EBIT margin −7.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The market capitalisation of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 541M THB (≈ $16.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 0.41 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Earnings per share at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited are 0.0100 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 58.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The dividend yield of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 1.5% (payout 84.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The net margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The operating margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Revenue at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is growing +32.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Earnings per share at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited are growing +292% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) carry?
The net debt of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 1.9B THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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