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Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited stock THB 0.09, price THB 0.49, that is 81.6% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate TH

VK Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited

KUN · BK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 82% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow
Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Revenue last quarter 12% below a year ago.
Fair value 0.0900 THB · Strongly overvalued
Quality 39/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.5 %/yr in THB)
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 26/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

2.79 THB 0.4900 THB Fair Value 0.0900 THB May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.4900 THB – 2.79 THB · fair‑value band 0.0800 THB – 0.1000 THB · the 0.4900 THB price screens above the 0.0900 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited engages in the property development business in Thailand. Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Bang Bua Thong, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) currently trades at 0.4900 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0900 THB, 82% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 0.6300 THB per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 0.4900 THB price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.0950 THB, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0800 THB (bear) to 0.1000 THB (bull), the price of 0.4900 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited reported revenue of 514M THB in FY2025 versus 992M THB in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6M THB in FY2025, compounding −61.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 401M THB (≈ $12.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 66.0 · P/S ratio 0.46 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −82%, KUN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0700 THB to 2.08 THB). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 0.0800 THB Fair Value 0.0900 THB Bull 0.1000 THB
Price 0.4900 THB · Downside -81.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 0.5900 THB 0.6300 THB 0.6800 THB 76
Gordon GGM 0.0800 THB 0.0900 THB 0.1000 THB 69
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0800 THB 0.1000 THB 0.1200 THB 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0800 THB 0.0900 THB 0.1000 THB 69
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0800 THB 0.1000 THB 0.1200 THB 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple 0.0600 THB 0.0700 THB 0.0900 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.56 THB 2.08 THB 2.60 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2500 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4800 THB 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.5900 THB 0.6300 THB 0.6800 THB 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 13
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 61
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 15
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 70
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 62
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 13
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 59
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−46.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−48.6% vs −25.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.6%/yr over ~8Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+56.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +54.9% a year for the price.

KUN screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.1% · Below median
Return on assets 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 9.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −12.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.99× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 66.0× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 1.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 50.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 68
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)51 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)38 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$32.02 HK$80.05 +150% vs KUN
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$13.18 HK$22.51 +71% vs KUN
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 62,100 VND 105,995 VND +71% vs KUN
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$49.12 HK$72.05 +47% vs KUN
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$117.70 HK$156.00 +33% vs KUN
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.60 ¥5.87 +5% vs KUN
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.84 ¥5.64 −28% vs KUN
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,179 ₹271.92 −77% vs KUN
DLF Limited DLF ₹752.90 ₹167.48 −78% vs KUN
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.28 $1.52 −82% vs KUN

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Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KUN

Frequently asked questions

Is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0900 THB versus a price of 0.4900 THB, about 82% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KUN?
Our model-based fair value for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 0.0900 THB (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4900 THB.
What is the quality score of KUN?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0900 THB (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0800 THB, optimistic scenario 0.1000 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0900 THB, about 82% lower versus a price of 0.4900 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0800 THB, optimistic scenario 0.1000 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 516M THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 1.92% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited has a dividend yield of 1.9%.
What growth is priced into Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +56.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.5 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KUN use?
Our models discount Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.09, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited that is +56.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited grew -8.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +56.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (+56.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.91 %: that much free cash flow Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited it is 0.0900 THB per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 0.4900 THB. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, KUN trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.4900 THB, fair value 0.0900 THB, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KUN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4900 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0900 THB). For Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited the two are 0.4000 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited at about 401M THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.4900 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0900 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KUN?
Our models span a range for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.0800 THB, base 0.0900 THB, optimistic 0.1000 THB per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 0.4900 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KUN?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 66.0 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.0900 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 50.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KUN from its 52-week high?
Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited trades at 0.4900 THB, about 46% below its 52-week high of 0.9000 THB and at the low of 0.4900 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0900 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 0.4900 THB, calculated fair value 0.0900 THB (−82%), Quality Score 39/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KUN calculated?
We run Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.0900 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 0.4900 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.0900 THB, about 82% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1000 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) come from?
Earnings per share at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited grew −9.4 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.4 %, EBIT margin −7.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The market capitalisation of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 401M THB (≈ $12.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 0.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The dividend yield of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The net margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
The operating margin of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Revenue at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is growing −12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN)?
Earnings per share at Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited are growing −40.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited (KUN) carry?
The net debt of Villa Kunalai Public Company Limited is 1.9B THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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