Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd (KWHIF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $17.6B
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd
KWHIF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +5.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($6.15 to $16.35). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.30 – $117.00 · fair‑value band $6.15 – $16.35 · the $17.99 price screens above the $9.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd (KWHIF) currently trades at $17.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.09, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd generated revenue of $2.3T at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. Net debt stands at $750B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.15 (bear case) to $16.35 (bull case); at $17.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -49%, KWHIF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.98) versus Growth DCF ($3.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. engages in aerospace systems, vehicles, energy solutions and marine, precision machinery, and robot businesses in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. engages in aerospace systems, vehicles, energy solutions and marine, precision machinery, and robot businesses in Japan and internationally. The company offers aircrafts, helicopters, aircraft engines and related equipment, related systems, and space products; rail; and marine ships and machinery, watercraft, and marine-technology products. It also provides gas turbines, boilers, industrial steam turbines, water-refrigerant centrifugal chiller, package boilers, gas engines, oil and gas facilities, top pressure recovery turbines, and absorption chiller equipment; and solutions for cogeneration/distributed power, power management, renewable energy, hydrogen road, energy plants, and environment and recycling. In addition, the company offers hydraulic components and systems, robotics, material handling system, general purpose engine, and large size structure; and industrial equipment for defense and securities, construction, factory solutions, industrial plants, and oil and gas facilities. Further, it provides leisure products comprising motorcycle and off-road four wheeler. The company was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd reported revenue of $2.3T in FY2026 versus $1.5T in FY2022, a compound +11.6%/yr. Reported net income was $109B in FY2026, compounding +71.3%/yr from FY2022.
KWHIF screens 49% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Nvidia (NVDA) Teams Up With Kawasaki To Build AI Powered Shipyard Robots
- Chips to ships: Nvidia plans new shipbuilding investment with Kawasaki
- How Investors May Respond To Kawasaki Heavy Industries (TSE:7012) Stronger FY2026 Earnings And Higher EPS
- Nvidia, Microsoft Back Massive New Physical AI Push With Kawasaki
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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