Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR (KWHIY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $16.6B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $3.92 to $3.89 (−0.8%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($2.52 to $7.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8235 – $8.92 · fair‑value band $2.52 – $7.10 · the $6.63 price screens above the $3.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR (KWHIY) currently trades at $6.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.89, implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR generated revenue of $2.3T at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at $749B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.52 (bear case) to $7.10 (bull case); at $6.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -41%, KWHIY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($5.90) versus Growth DCF ($1.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. operates aerospace systems, vehicles, energy solutions and marine, precision machinery and robotics, powersports and engines, and other businesses in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. operates aerospace systems, vehicles, energy solutions and marine, precision machinery and robotics, powersports and engines, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. The company engages in air transportation and space exploitation in fields comprising airplanes, helicopters, space products related systems, and space products; manufacture and sale of railway vehicles, ships and crushers, and snow removal equipment; energy, marine propulsion, and plant related equipment and systems; offers energy solutions for power generation and energy storage and management; and provides hydrogen-related facilities. It also provides gas turbines, boilers, industrial steam turbines, boilers, gas engines, oil and gas facilities; motorcycles, off-road vehicles, personal watercraft, jet skis, and general-purpose gasoline; and development and supplies systems, such as industrial plants and treatment facilities. In addition, the company offers hydraulic equipment, industrial robotics, material handling system, general purpose engine, and large size structure; and industrial equipment for defense and securities, construction, factory solutions, industrial plants, and oil and gas facilities. Further, it provides leisure products comprising motorcycles and off-road four-wheelers. The company was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR reported revenue of $2.5T in FY2026 versus $1.5T in FY2022, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was $115B in FY2026, compounding +73.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +3.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
KWHIY screens 41% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kawasaki Heavy Industries reports Q1 results; raises FY 2026 outlook
- Nvidia (NVDA) Teams Up With Kawasaki To Build AI Powered Shipyard Robots
- Chips to ships: Nvidia plans new shipbuilding investment with Kawasaki
- How Investors May Respond To Kawasaki Heavy Industries (TSE:7012) Stronger FY2026 Earnings And Higher EPS
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 815 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €275.55 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 202.30 | kr 112.59 | -44% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹425.20 | ₹78.13 | -82% |
| Siemens Limited SIEMENS | ₹4,019 | ₹746.83 | -81% |
| Airtac International Group 1590 | 1,470 TWD | 853.70 TWD | -42% |
| Suzlon Energy Limited SUZLON | ₹47.35 | ₹26.64 | -44% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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