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Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR (KWHIY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $16.6B

KH Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR logo Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR KWHIY · US
Price$6.63
Fair Value$3.89
Upside-41.3%
Quality47/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 41% ABOVE our fair value of $3.89
!Mixed Growth
!Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
!Trails peers (4/12)
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.04% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range $2.52 – $7.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $3.92 to $3.89 (−0.8%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.52 to $7.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$8.92 $0.8235 Fair Value $3.89 Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8235 – $8.92 · fair‑value band $2.52 – $7.10 · the $6.63 price screens above the $3.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR (KWHIY) currently trades at $6.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.89, implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR generated revenue of $2.3T at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at $749B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.52 (bear case) to $7.10 (bull case); at $6.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -41%, KWHIY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.7692 $1.40 $2.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.96 $3.72 $5.59 74
ROIC Compounder $2.12 $2.60 $3.28 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.7267 $1.41 $2.38 38
Owner Earnings $3.18 $4.96 $7.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.96 $3.72 $5.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.76 $6.94 $10.54 41
5Y P/E Exit $2.80 $5.23 $7.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.38 $2.87 $4.78 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.61 $5.05 $8.15 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.01 $3.89 $6.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.34 $5.63 $7.27 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.9920 $1.42 $1.84 46
EPV $2.12 $2.60 $3.02 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.42 $7.22 $9.03 63
P/S Multiple $4.39 $5.85 $7.31 58
P/B Multiple $4.39 $5.85 $7.31 55
EV/EBIT $4.34 $6.05 $7.75 53
EV/EBITDA $6.36 $8.73 $11.11 54
EV/Revenue $2.88 $4.44 $6.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.32 $1.77 $2.65 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.7692 $1.40 $2.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.96 $3.72 $5.59 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.51 $3.08 $6.83 61
ROIC Compounder $2.12 $2.60 $3.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.13 $5.90 $7.67 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($5.90) versus Growth DCF ($1.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.3T
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.9%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow $46.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 20.7
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.3200
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.4%
Net debt $749B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. operates aerospace systems, vehicles, energy solutions and marine, precision machinery and robotics, powersports and engines, and other businesses in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd. operates aerospace systems, vehicles, energy solutions and marine, precision machinery and robotics, powersports and engines, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. The company engages in air transportation and space exploitation in fields comprising airplanes, helicopters, space products related systems, and space products; manufacture and sale of railway vehicles, ships and crushers, and snow removal equipment; energy, marine propulsion, and plant related equipment and systems; offers energy solutions for power generation and energy storage and management; and provides hydrogen-related facilities. It also provides gas turbines, boilers, industrial steam turbines, boilers, gas engines, oil and gas facilities; motorcycles, off-road vehicles, personal watercraft, jet skis, and general-purpose gasoline; and development and supplies systems, such as industrial plants and treatment facilities. In addition, the company offers hydraulic equipment, industrial robotics, material handling system, general purpose engine, and large size structure; and industrial equipment for defense and securities, construction, factory solutions, industrial plants, and oil and gas facilities. Further, it provides leisure products comprising motorcycles and off-road four-wheelers. The company was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR reported revenue of $2.5T in FY2026 versus $1.5T in FY2022, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was $115B in FY2026, compounding +73.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.5T
Latest YoY
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY22 $1.5T
FY23 $1.7T
FY24 $1.8T
FY25 $2.1T
FY26 $2.5T
Net income +73.6%/yr
FY22 $12.6B
FY23 $53.0B
FY24 $25.4B
FY25 $88.0B
FY26 $115B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.9 pp

of which total revenue +3.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +0.0 pp
Tax rate +2.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KWHIY screens 41% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KWHIY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 815 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.42× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.7× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.52× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE20 · sector 21
PAST55 · sector 28
HEALTH79 · sector 95
DIVIDEND21 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €899.80 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €275.55 €91.93 -67%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.75 -28%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 202.30 kr 112.59 -44%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 358.60 kr 193.01 -46%
Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL ₹425.20 ₹78.13 -82%
Siemens Limited SIEMENS ₹4,019 ₹746.83 -81%
Airtac International Group 1590 1,470 TWD 853.70 TWD -42%
Suzlon Energy Limited SUZLON ₹47.35 ₹26.64 -44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR (KWHIY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.89 versus a price of $6.63, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KWHIY?
Our model-based fair value for Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR is $3.89 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.63.
What is the quality score of KWHIY?
Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR (KWHIY)?
Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3T (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KWHIY?
The net profit margin of Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.04% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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