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Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Land Holdings $0.02, price $0.02, upside -13.2%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · US · ISIN BMG4182K1009

GL Guangdong Land Holdings logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Guangdong Land Holdings

KYBWF · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $0.0211 · Overvalued (−13.2%)
✓Quality 61/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$0.2500 $0.0008 Fair Value $0.0211 Feb 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $0.0008 – $0.2500 · fair‑value band $0.0198 – $0.0233 · the $0.0243 price screens above the $0.0211 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Land Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in and develops properties in Mainland China. It engages in property development and investment business. The company was formerly known as Kingway Brewery Holdings Limited and changed its name to Guangdong Land Holdings Limited in September 2013.

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Guangdong Land Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in and develops properties in Mainland China. It engages in property development and investment business. The company was formerly known as Kingway Brewery Holdings Limited and changed its name to Guangdong Land Holdings Limited in September 2013. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Guangdong Investment Limited.

Stock analysis

Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF) currently trades at $0.0243, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0211, 13.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.0211 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.0243 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0058, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.0198 (bear) to $0.0233 (bull), the price of $0.0243 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Guangdong Land Holdings reported revenue of HK$8.6B in FY2025 versus HK$6.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$590M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $18.7M · EPS (TTM) $−0.0400 · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% · Operating margin −7.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$8.6B · Revenue growth (YoY) −28.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 2,938% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −13%, KYBWF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0198 Fair Value $0.0211 Bull $0.0233
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.0219 $0.0359 $0.0795 72
Growth DCF $0.0204 $0.0423 $0.0777 72
EPV $0.0044 $0.0058 $0.0069 71
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0219 $0.0359 $0.0795 72
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0062 $0.0103 $0.0186 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0113 $0.0206 $0.0388 69
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0109 $0.0211 $0.0252 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0147 $0.0319 $0.0599 62
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0044 $0.0058 $0.0069 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0118 $0.0171 $0.0224 65
EV/EBITDA $0.0067 $0.0102 $0.0138 66
EV/Revenue n/a $0.0010 $0.0024 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0007 $0.0010 $0.0015 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0204 $0.0423 $0.0777 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0071 $0.0124 $0.0239 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0072 $0.0125 $0.0163 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.7% (2020) → 28.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KYBWF screens overvalued: fair value 13% below the price. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +147.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −6.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −7.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −28.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.74× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$45.90 HK$71.49 +56%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹658.40 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$9.94 HK$7.28 −27%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.77 ¥5.87 +2%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%

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Guangdong Land Holdings · Fair Value
$0.0211 −13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Land Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KYBWF

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0211 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0243, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KYBWF?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Land Holdings is $0.0211 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0243.
What is the quality score of KYBWF?
Guangdong Land Holdings has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0211 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0198, optimistic scenario $0.0233. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Land Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0211, about −13% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0243 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0198, optimistic scenario $0.0233. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
Guangdong Land Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$8.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Land Holdings it is $0.0211 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0243. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Land Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KYBWF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0243, fair value $0.0211, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KYBWF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0243); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0211). For Guangdong Land Holdings the two are $0.0032 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Land Holdings worth?
The market values Guangdong Land Holdings at about $18.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0243; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0211 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KYBWF?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Land Holdings: cautious scenario $0.0198, base $0.0211, optimistic $0.0233 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0243). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Land Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −15.8%, debt of 3.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KYBWF from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Land Holdings trades at $0.0243, at its 52-week high of $0.0243 and 2,938% above the low of $0.0008 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0211 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Land Holdings?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Land Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0243, calculated fair value $0.0211 (−13%), Quality Score 61/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KYBWF calculated?
We run Guangdong Land Holdings through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0211, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Land Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0243. Our model-based fair value is $0.0211, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Land Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0233). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Guangdong Land Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Land Holdings is $18.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Land Holdings are $−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
The net margin of Guangdong Land Holdings is −6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Land Holdings is −15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Land Holdings is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Land Holdings is −7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF)?
Revenue at Guangdong Land Holdings is growing −28.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +83.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Land Holdings is HK$3.1B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong Land Holdings (KYBWF) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong Land Holdings is HK$15.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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