Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc $19.52, price $13.50, upside +44.6%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.35 – $15.65 · fair‑value band $15.82 – $26.01 · the $13.50 price screens below the $19.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally.
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Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Sales Business, Transmission and Distribution Business, Overseas Businesses, ICT Services Business, Urban Development Business, and Other Energy Services Business segments. It is also involved in construction and maintenance of electrical equipment; sale of gas / LNG and coal; renewable energy business; data communication; optical broadband; telecommunications construction and maintenance; information system development; public-private partnership, and data center business. Further, the company develops and manages real estate. Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.
Stock analysis
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) currently trades at $13.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.52, implying the stock looks roughly 30.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $31.19 per share, and 8 of the 15 models we run sit above the $13.50 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $4.22, and 7 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $15.82 (bear) to $26.01 (bull), the price of $13.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥2.4T in FY2026 versus ¥1.7T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥163B in FY2026, compounding +120.6%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $6.4B · P/E ratio 6.8 · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) $1.98 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 6.8% · Return on equity 14.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 45%, KYSEY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $15.82Fair Value $19.52Bull $26.01
Price $13.50 · Upside +44.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+58.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+55.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.55.8% vs 7.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 10%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.8% a year for the price and −2.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (23 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 73 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+44.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)15.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.61× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KYSEY
Frequently asked questions
Is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.52 versus a price of $13.50, about +45% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KYSEY?
Our model-based fair value for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is $19.52 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.50.
What is the quality score of KYSEY?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.52 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.82, optimistic scenario $26.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.52, about +45% upside versus a price of $13.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.82, optimistic scenario $26.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.3T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR pay a dividend?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +23.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KYSEY use?
Our models discount Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR that is +23.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR grew +9.4 % a year. The price currently implies +23.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (+23.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.64 %: that much free cash flow Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR it is $19.52 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $13.50. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, KYSEY trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.50, fair value $19.52, a gap of about +45% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KYSEY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.52). For Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR the two are $6.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR worth?
The market values Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR at about $6.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $13.50; our models calculate a fair value of $19.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KYSEY?
Our models span a range for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR: cautious scenario $15.82, base $19.52, optimistic $26.01 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $13.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KYSEY?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.8 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 14.6%, debt of 2.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $13.50, calculated fair value $19.52 (+45%), Quality Score 44/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KYSEY calculated?
We run Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $13.50. Our model-based fair value is $19.52, about +45% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY) come from?
Earnings per share at Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR grew +8.5 % a year from 2016 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin +5.1 %, tax rate −2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The market capitalisation of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is $6.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is 0.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
Earnings per share at Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR are $1.98 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The dividend yield of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is 2.3% (payout 15.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The net margin of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is 6.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is 14.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
The operating margin of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
Revenue at Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY)?
Earnings per share at Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR are growing +30.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc (KYSEY) carry?
The net debt of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is ¥3.4T (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 43.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 28, 2026