Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Utilities · US · Market cap $6.7B · ISIN US5015901037
At a glance
KEKyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADRKYSEY · US
Price$14.20
Fair Value$31.99
Upside+125.3%
Quality43/100
Below-average quality, trading 56% below our fair value of $31.99.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is $31.99 per share against a price of $14.20, so the fair value sits 125% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
·3.33% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: MediumRange $22.40 to $41.59
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $31.01 to $31.99 (+3.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +40.3% over the past month.
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What matters now
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($22.40). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
A fairly wide model range ($22.40 to $41.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.35 – $14.98 · fair‑value band $22.40 – $41.59 · the $14.20 price screens below the $31.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) currently trades at $14.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.99, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $33.38 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the $14.20 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $7.17, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR generated revenue of ¥2.2T at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at ¥3.4T. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $22.40 (bear) to $41.59 (bull), the price of $14.20 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at 125%, KYSEY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio5.1as of Jun 21, 2026
P/S ratio0.35P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$1.96price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.1
Dividend yield3.3%payout 24.1%
Net margin6.8%FY2026
Return on equity13.8%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)2.3%avg 5y
Operating margin1.4%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)¥2.2TTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−6.8%3y avg +2.4%
EPS growth (YoY)+9.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow¥76.9BFY2026
Net debt¥3.4TFY2026 · ≈ 43.8 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality43/100
Of which business quality 42
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Profitability30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Sales Business, Transmission and Distribution Business, Overseas Businesses, ICT Services Business, Urban Development Business, and Other Energy Services Business segments. It is also involved in construction and maintenance of electrical equipment; sale of gas / LNG and coal; renewable energy business; data communication; optical broadband; telecommunications construction and maintenance; information system development; public-private partnership, and data center business. Further, the company develops and manages real estate. Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥2.4T in FY2026 versus ¥1.7T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥163B in FY2026, compounding +120.6%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥2.4T
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+59.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+55.9%
Dividend yield3.3%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 55.9% vs 10Y 7.9%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5.1% (2021) → 10.0% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop1,022% (2013) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in JPY
Revenue+8.1%/yr
FY22¥1.7T
FY23¥2.2T
FY24¥2.1T
FY25¥2.4T
FY26¥2.4T
Net income+120.6%/yr
FY22¥6.9B
FY23−¥56.4B
FY24¥166B
FY25¥129B
FY26¥163B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026)+8.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share+2.7 %
of which total revenue +2.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
EBIT margin+5.1 %
Tax rate−2.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)+2.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside+148% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.70× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)5.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.1× · Cheapest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+18.0 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+9.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+0.7 %
FCF yield on price7.44 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.5 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 17
FUTURE0· sector 0
PAST55· sector 29
HEALTH0· sector 70
DIVIDEND67· sector 51
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).
Is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.99 versus a price of $14.20, about +125% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KYSEY?
Our model-based fair value for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is $31.99 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.20.
What is the quality score of KYSEY?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $31.99 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $22.40, optimistic scenario $41.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $31.99, about +125% upside versus a price of $14.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $22.40, optimistic scenario $41.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY)?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.2T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KYSEY?
The net profit margin of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR pay a dividend?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +18.0 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.4 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KYSEY use?
Our models discount Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR it is $31.99 per share (as of Sep 8, 2026), against a price of $14.20. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 8, 2026, KYSEY trades below its calculated fair value: price $14.20, fair value $31.99, a gap of about +125% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KYSEY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($31.99). For Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR the two are $17.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR worth?
The market values Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR at about $6.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 8, 2026). Per share that is $14.20; our models calculate a fair value of $31.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KYSEY?
Our models span a range for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR: cautious scenario $22.40, base $31.99, optimistic $41.59 per share (as of Sep 8, 2026, price $14.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KYSEY?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 (as of Sep 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $31.99 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (as of Sep 8, 2026): return on equity 13.8%, debt of 2.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KYSEY from its 52-week high?
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR trades at $14.20, about 13% below its 52-week high of $12.59 and 77% above the low of $8.03 (as of Sep 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $31.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 8, 2026: price $14.20, calculated fair value $31.99 (+125%), Quality Score 43/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KYSEY calculated?
We run Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $31.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR currently trades 125 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR
KYSEY · US