Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $5.1B
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR
KYSEY · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $29.25 to $31.01 (+6.0%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 158% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($21.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range ($21.71 to $40.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.35 – $12.90 · fair‑value band $21.71 – $40.31 · the $12.04 price screens below the $31.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR (KYSEY) currently trades at $12.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.01, implying the stock looks roughly 157.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR generated revenue of $2.2T at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. Net debt stands at $3.4T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $21.71 (bear case) to $40.31 (bull case); at $12.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at 158%, KYSEY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($32.35) versus DCF Models ($0.1895). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated engages in the power generation, transmission, distribution, and retail in Japan and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Sales Business, Transmission and Distribution Business, Overseas Businesses, ICT Services Business, Urban Development Business, and Other Energy Services Business segments. It is also involved in construction and maintenance of electrical equipment; sale of gas / LNG and coal; renewable energy business; data communication; optical broadband; telecommunications construction and maintenance; information system development; public-private partnership, and data center business. Further, the company develops and manages real estate. Kyushu Electric Power Company, Incorporated was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Fukuoka City, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kyushu Electric Power Co Inc ADR reported revenue of $2.4T in FY2026 versus $1.7T in FY2022, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $163B in FY2026, compounding +120.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +2.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $278.68 | $88.09 | -68% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $146.68 | $50.39 | -66% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹206.10 | ₹75.57 | -63% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.93 | ¥2.79 | -29% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 65.00 THB | 39.25 THB | -40% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $120.66 | $53.91 | -55% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,583 | ₹342.02 | -78% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $365.07 | $43.55 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥6.29 | ¥4.95 | -21% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$57.30 | HK$30.76 | -46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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