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Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (KZBGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TR · Market cap 8.1B TRY

KG Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. KZBGY · IS
Price2.03 TRY
Fair Value3.44 TRY
Upside+69.5%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 48.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range 2.72 TRY – 3.44 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Share price −9.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 69% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.72 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6.56 TRY 0.9948 TRY Fair Value 3.44 TRY Aug 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.9948 TRY – 6.56 TRY · fair‑value band 2.72 TRY – 3.44 TRY · the 2.03 TRY price screens below the 3.44 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (KZBGY) currently trades at 2.03 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.44 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 69.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. generated revenue of 1.6B TRY at a net margin of 48.6%. Revenue declined 39.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.72 TRY (bear case) to 3.44 TRY (bull case); at 2.03 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 69%, KZBGY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.85 TRY 2.61 TRY 3.86 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.78 TRY 2.85 TRY 4.15 TRY 74
Residual Income 4.01 TRY 3.94 TRY 3.45 TRY 61
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.76 TRY 2.55 TRY 3.95 TRY 38
5Y Revenue Exit 1.78 TRY 2.80 TRY 4.27 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.40 TRY 3.86 TRY 5.79 TRY 41
10Y Revenue Exit 1.70 TRY 2.44 TRY 3.23 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.12 TRY 3.08 TRY 4.11 TRY 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple 2.36 TRY 3.14 TRY 3.93 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 2.72 TRY 3.63 TRY 4.53 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 4.32 TRY 5.89 TRY 7.45 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 3.35 TRY 4.60 TRY 5.84 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 1.99 TRY 3.01 TRY 4.02 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.74 TRY 3.67 TRY 5.48 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.85 TRY 2.61 TRY 3.86 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.78 TRY 2.85 TRY 4.15 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 4.01 TRY 3.94 TRY 3.45 TRY 61

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (3.94 TRY) versus Growth DCF (2.61 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.6B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -39.2%
Net margin 48.6%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow 924M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 10.2
More key figures
Operating margin 41.8%
EPS (TTM) 0.2000 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -44.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. operates as real estate investment trust in Turkey. The company is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported revenue of 1.9B TRY in FY2025 versus 0 TRY in FY2022. Reported net income was 853M TRY in FY2025, compounding −35.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B TRY
Latest YoY
−85.0%
Revenue
FY22 0 TRY
FY23 0 TRY
FY24 12.9B TRY
FY25 1.9B TRY
Net income −35.7%/yr
FY22 3.2B TRY
FY23 −2.7B TRY
FY24 9.5B TRY
FY25 853M TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KZBGY

Peer Group

REIT - Hotel & Motel · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +70% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Above median
Revenue growth -39% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 15 · sector 8
HEALTH 97 · sector 74
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 65

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $24.50 $16.49 -33%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $133.09 $48.74 -63%
COVH COVH €21.80 €21.79 -0%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.61 $12.63 -24%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $14.74 $20.58 +40%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.85 $8.43 -34%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.74 $2.52 -79%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $19.09 $25.37 +33%
Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR $21.49 $11.63 -46%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $12.34 $8.28 -33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (KZBGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.44 TRY versus a price of 2.03 TRY, about +69% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KZBGY?
Our model-based fair value for Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is 3.44 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.03 TRY.
What is the quality score of KZBGY?
Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (KZBGY)?
Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KZBGY?
The net profit margin of Kizilbük Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is about 48.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 48.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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