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Kalamazoo Resources Limited (KZR) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$44.0M

KR Kalamazoo Resources Limited KZR · AU
PriceA$0.1650
Fair ValueA$0.0340
Upside-79.4%
Quality29/100
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Weak Growth
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0255 – A$0.0340 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +22.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0340). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.4800 A$0.0610 Fair Value A$0.0340 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0610 – A$0.4800 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0340 · the A$0.1650 price screens above the A$0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kalamazoo Resources Limited (KZR) currently trades at A$0.1650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 79.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$38.8K. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0255 (bear case) to A$0.0340 (bull case); at A$0.1650, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -79%, KZR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0700 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0700 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$38.8K
Revenue growth (YoY) +1,970%
Net margin 4,717%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow −A$3.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin -36.1%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0100
Net cash A$96.2K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kalamazoo Resources Limited explores for and develops mineral projects in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, lithium, and base metal deposits.

Full company description

Kalamazoo Resources Limited explores for and develops mineral projects in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, lithium, and base metal deposits. It holds interest in the Ashburton project covering an area of 222 square kilometers located in Paraburdoo, Western Australia; the Mallina West Gold project covering an area of 118 square kilometers located in Pilbara, Western Australia; the Snake Well North project covers an area of 112 square kilometers located in Murchison, Western Australia; and the Pear Creek project located in Pilbara, Western Australia. Kalamazoo Resources Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kalamazoo Resources Limited reported revenue of A$199K in FY2025 versus A$2.1M in FY2021, a compound −44.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 10/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$199K
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+112.1%
Revenue −44.4%/yr
FY21 A$2.1M
FY22 A$10.6K
FY23 A$1.5M
FY24 A$20.0K
FY25 A$199K
Net income
FY21 −A$446K
FY22 −A$1.4M
FY23 −A$3.3M
FY24 −A$4.8M
FY25 −A$4.4M

KZR screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kalamazoo Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KZR

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets -4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -36% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1970% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.48× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 30 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kalamazoo Resources Limited (KZR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0340 versus a price of A$0.1650, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KZR?
Our model-based fair value for Kalamazoo Resources Limited is A$0.0340 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.1650.
What is the quality score of KZR?
Kalamazoo Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kalamazoo Resources Limited (KZR)?
Kalamazoo Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$38.8K (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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