Lagercrantz Group (LAGR-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 50.0B SEK (≈ $5.2B) · ISIN SE0014990966
What is Lagercrantz Group really worth?
A solid business, but trading 73% above our fair value of kr 128.32.
As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Lagercrantz Group is kr 128.32 per share against a price of kr 222.60, so the fair value sits 42% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 211.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 67.59 to kr 211.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 75.92 – kr 265.60 · fair‑value band kr 67.59 – kr 211.01 · the kr 222.60 price screens above the kr 128.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Lagercrantz Group (LAGR-B) currently trades at kr 222.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 128.32, implying the stock looks roughly 73.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 137.70 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the kr 222.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 15.13, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lagercrantz Group generated revenue of 10.6B SEK at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue grew 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.0%. Net debt stands at 4.2B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 67.59 (bear case) to kr 211.01 (bull case); at kr 222.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −42%, LAGR-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.44 per share, which is 1.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 137.70) versus Asset-Based (kr 15.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lagercrantz Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, Germany, the United Kingdom, Benelux, Poland, rest of Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electrify, Control, TecSec, Niche Products, and International.
Full company description
Lagercrantz Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, Germany, the United Kingdom, Benelux, Poland, rest of Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electrify, Control, TecSec, Niche Products, and International. It offers IP-classed enclosures, cabinets, and storage solutions; cabling solutions; safety and security products and systems; infrastructure and electrical products; technical housing; and measure and control technical equipment. The company also provides technical security products, such as locking devices, fences and security doors, technical security systems, and security solutions that prevent accidents. In addition, it offers washing systems for heavy vehicles, dispenser systems for foodstuffs, sharpening systems for knives and other edge tools, and special doors for refrigeration rooms and hospitals, as well as valves for land-based fish farms; and marine products. The company provides its solutions for shipyards, railways, power distribution, and mechanical; industry, electricity distribution, transmission, renewable energy, transport infrastructure, battery and charging technologies, and communication networks, such as fibre and 5G; and public authorities, critical societal functions, companies, logistics, nursing and healthcare, building, and construction, as well as offshore sectors. Lagercrantz Group AB (publ) was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lagercrantz Group reported revenue of 10.6B SEK in FY2026 versus 5.5B SEK in FY2022, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B SEK in FY2026, compounding +20.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +13.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
LAGR-B screens 73% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 374 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| 3M Company MMM | $178.83 | $76.87 | −57% |
| Honeywell International Inc HON | $217.43 | $218.95 | +1% |
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$13.02 | HK$26.04 | +100% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €26.90 | €7.65 | −72% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$106.30 | HK$36.88 | −65% |
| CK Hutchison Holdings 0001 | HK$69.85 | HK$100.46 | +44% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,800 IDR | 9,600 IDR | +100% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $59.10 | $79.11 | +34% |
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