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LBG Media PLC (LBG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of LBG Media PLC £0.89, price £0.30, upside +200.0%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · GB

LM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

LBG Media PLC

LBG · LSE

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value £0.8880 · Strongly undervalued (+200.0%)
✓Quality 72/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +25.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/13)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Insider activity 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£2.07 £0.2500 Fair Value £0.8880 Dec 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range £0.2500 – £2.07 · fair‑value band £0.5778 – £1.16 · the £0.2960 price screens below the £0.8880 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

LBG Media plc operates an online media publisher in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, the United States, and internationally. The company produces content marketing, direct display, newsletters, podcasts and social consultancy, social video, web advertising, affiliate, licensing, merchandise and ticket sales.

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LBG Media plc operates an online media publisher in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, the United States, and internationally. The company produces content marketing, direct display, newsletters, podcasts and social consultancy, social video, web advertising, affiliate, licensing, merchandise and ticket sales. It also offers its products through various brands, such as UNILAD, UNILAD TECH, BETCHES, LAD BIBLE, SPORT BIBLE, GAMING BIBLE, Furry Tails, UNILAD SOUND, lessons learned in life, ODDS BIBLE, LAD BIBLE AUSTRALIA, FOOD BIBLE, LAD BIBLE IRELAND, UNILAD ADVENTURE, Tyla. LBG Media plc was founded in 2012 and is based in Manchester, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

LBG Media PLC (LBG) currently trades at £0.2960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.8880, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £1.64 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the £0.2960 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.2600, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: £0.5778 (bear) to £1.16 (bull), the price of £0.2960 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

LBG Media PLC reported revenue of £92.2M in FY2025 versus £54.5M in FY2021, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was £10.6M in FY2025, compounding +19.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 70.4M GBX · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) £0.0300 · Net margin 11.5% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.3% · Operating margin 5.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 200%, LBG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.5778 Fair Value £0.8880 Bull £1.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0222 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF £0.9600 £1.33 £2.32 79
Growth DCF £0.9100 £1.39 £2.18 77
EPV £0.5600 £0.6100 £0.6500 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.9600 £1.33 £2.32 79
Owner Earnings £0.9500 £1.73 £3.09 73
5Y Revenue Exit £0.8800 £1.44 £2.54 70
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.9700 £1.64 £2.86 73
5Y P/E Exit £0.9500 £1.75 £2.78 69
10Y Revenue Exit £0.8700 £1.53 £2.22 66
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.9500 £1.68 £3.01 66
10Y P/E Exit £0.9300 £1.65 £2.86 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.3500 £2.41 £3.38 63
Lynch FV £0.7400 £1.06 £1.38 61
PEG = 1.0 £0.7400 £1.06 £1.38 57
EPV £0.5600 £0.6100 £0.6500 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.8400 £1.12 £1.40 63
P/S Multiple £0.6500 £0.8600 £1.08 58
P/B Multiple £0.6500 £0.8600 £1.08 55
EV/EBIT £1.03 £1.33 £1.63 66
EV/EBITDA £1.02 £1.31 £1.60 67
EV/Revenue £0.8200 £1.11 £1.40 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1900 £0.2600 £0.3900 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.9100 £1.39 £2.18 77
Rev-Margin DCF £0.8800 £1.54 £2.55 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.3300 £0.3700 £0.5700 70
ROIC Compounder £0.6300 £0.7800 £0.9800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.02 £1.46 £1.90 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−0.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.8% vs −52.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 17%
2025 sits 97% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 64.7%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−28.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+17.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −29.9% a year for the price and +14.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+14.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+21.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+19.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+16.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+14.1%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 109 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.2% · Above median
Return on assets 6.9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)96 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LBG Media PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LBG

Frequently asked questions

Is LBG Media PLC (LBG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.8880 versus a price of £0.2960, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LBG?
Our model-based fair value for LBG Media PLC is £0.8880 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.2960.
What is the quality score of LBG?
LBG Media PLC has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.8880 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.5778, optimistic scenario £1.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LBG Media PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.8880, about +200% upside versus a price of £0.2960 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.5778, optimistic scenario £1.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
LBG Media PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £101M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, LBG Media PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -28.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LBG use?
Our models discount LBG Media PLC at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For LBG Media PLC that is -28.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has LBG Media PLC (LBG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at LBG Media PLC grew +25.0 % a year. The price currently implies -28.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of LBG Media PLC (LBG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into LBG Media PLC (-28.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.19 %: that much free cash flow LBG Media PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LBG Media PLC it is £0.8880 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £0.2960. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LBG Media PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LBG trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.2960, fair value £0.8880, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LBG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.2960); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.8880). For LBG Media PLC the two are £0.5920 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LBG Media PLC worth?
The market values LBG Media PLC at about 70.4M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £0.2960; our models calculate a fair value of £0.8880 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LBG?
Our models span a range for LBG Media PLC: cautious scenario £0.5778, base £0.8880, optimistic £1.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £0.2960). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LBG?
LBG Media PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.8880 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
Balance-sheet figures for LBG Media PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LBG from its 52-week high?
LBG Media PLC trades at £0.2960, about 71% below its 52-week high of £1.03 and 18% above the low of £0.2500 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.8880 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LBG Media PLC?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LBG Media PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £0.2960, calculated fair value £0.8880 (+200%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LBG calculated?
We run LBG Media PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.8880, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. LBG Media PLC currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was £0.2960. Our model-based fair value is £0.8880, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LBG Media PLC right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.5778). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (£0.5778 to £1.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of LBG Media PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
The market capitalisation of LBG Media PLC is 70.4M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LBG Media PLC is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
Earnings per share at LBG Media PLC are £0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
The net margin of LBG Media PLC is 11.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LBG Media PLC is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LBG Media PLC is 12.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
The operating margin of LBG Media PLC is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
Revenue at LBG Media PLC is growing +19.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LBG Media PLC (LBG)?
Earnings per share at LBG Media PLC are growing −75.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does LBG Media PLC (LBG) hold?
LBG Media PLC holds more cash than debt, 27.7M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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