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Leatt Corp (LEAT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Leatt Corp $9.74, price $11.78, upside -17.3%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US5221322085

LC Leatt Corp logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Leatt Corp

LEAT · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $9.74 · Overvalued (−17%)
✓Quality 69/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +9.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Weak on valuation: 10 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$33.90 $5.49 Fair Value $9.74 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.49 – $33.90 · fair‑value band $5.63 – $14.40 · the $11.78 price screens above the $9.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Leatt Corporation designs, develops, markets, and distributes personal protective equipment for participants of motor sports and leisure activities in South Africa and internationally. The company offers Leatt-Brace system, an injection molded neck protection system designed to prevent injuries to the cervical spine and neck.

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Leatt Corporation designs, develops, markets, and distributes personal protective equipment for participants of motor sports and leisure activities in South Africa and internationally. The company offers Leatt-Brace system, an injection molded neck protection system designed to prevent injuries to the cervical spine and neck. It also provides helmets for head and brain protection; and body armor products, including chest protectors, full upper body protectors, upper body protection vests, back protectors, knee braces, knee and elbow guards, off-road motorcycle boots, and mountain biking shoes. In addition, the company offers other products, parts, and accessories, such as goggles and hydrations bags, as well as apparel items that comprise suits, jackets, jerseys, pants, shorts, socks, gloves, sunglasses, and bicycle components; and aftermarket support products; toolbelt, duffel, gear, and helmet bags; backpacks, hats, and hydration kits; and casual clothing and caps. Further, it acts as the original equipment manufacturer for personal protective equipment sold by other brands. The company's products are used by riders of motorcycles, bicycles, snowmobiles, and ATVs. It sells its products to customers through a network of distributors and retailers; and directs end consumers through digital channels and online store at leatt.com. The company was formerly known as Treadzone, Inc. and changed its name to Leatt Corporation in May 2005. Leatt Corporation was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Durbanville, South Africa.

Stock analysis

Leatt Corp (LEAT) currently trades at $11.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.74, implying the stock looks roughly 20.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $11.31 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $11.78 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $3.85, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $5.63 (bear) to $14.40 (bull), the price of $11.78 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Leatt Corp reported revenue of $61.9M in FY2025 versus $72.5M in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.3M in FY2025, compounding −28.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $73.4M · P/E ratio 19.3 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) $0.6100 · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8% · Operating margin 11.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at −17%, LEAT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.63 Fair Value $9.74 Bull $14.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4479 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $3.23 $4.02 $5.23 80
Growth DCF $3.19 $3.85 $4.77 78
EPV $4.48 $4.76 $5.00 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.23 $4.02 $5.23 80
Owner Earnings $7.61 $11.43 $17.27 73
5Y Revenue Exit $6.16 $10.41 $16.51 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.95 $12.10 $18.89 71
5Y P/E Exit $7.33 $12.92 $19.65 67
10Y Revenue Exit $4.74 $7.99 $13.49 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.35 $9.07 $15.26 64
10Y P/E Exit $5.57 $9.60 $15.83 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.56 $18.98 $26.28 61
Lynch FV $5.23 $7.48 $9.72 59
PEG = 1.0 $5.23 $7.48 $9.72 55
EPV $4.48 $4.76 $5.00 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.64 $11.52 $14.40 63
P/S Multiple $6.68 $8.90 $11.13 58
P/B Multiple $6.68 $8.90 $11.13 55
EV/EBIT $11.13 $14.15 $17.16 66
EV/EBITDA $10.03 $12.68 $15.33 67
EV/Revenue $8.18 $10.80 $13.41 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.39 $4.54 $6.78 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.19 $3.85 $4.77 78
Rev-Margin DCF $6.16 $10.18 $15.62 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.03 $5.15 $5.04 68
ROIC Compounder $4.48 $4.76 $5.00 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.92 $11.31 $14.70 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.8% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−7.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9% vs 19%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +44.7% a year for the price.

LEAT screens 21% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 189 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 101.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)10 · sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 HK$71.80 HK$166.82 +132%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$153.50 HK$211.79 +38%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $27.65 $19.17 −31%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $86.91 $85.71 −1%
Life Time Group LTH $38.19 $15.61 −59%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $83.20 $42.95 −48%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥37.48 ¥108.20 +189%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$12.38 HK$29.57 +139%
Benefit Systems S.A BFT 5,070 PLN 5,577 PLN +10%
Mattel, Inc MAT $13.21 $21.24 +61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Leatt Corp (LEAT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.74 versus a price of $11.78, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LEAT?
Our model-based fair value for Leatt Corp is $9.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.78.
What is the quality score of LEAT?
Leatt Corp has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.63, optimistic scenario $14.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Leatt Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.74, about −17% upside versus a price of $11.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.63, optimistic scenario $14.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
Leatt Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $66.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Leatt Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +48.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LEAT use?
Our models discount Leatt Corp at 12.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Leatt Corp that is +48.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Leatt Corp (LEAT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Leatt Corp grew +9.9 % a year. The price currently implies +48.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Leatt Corp (LEAT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Leatt Corp (+48.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.99 %: that much free cash flow Leatt Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Leatt Corp it is $9.74 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $11.78. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Leatt Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LEAT trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.78, fair value $9.74, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LEAT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.74). For Leatt Corp the two are $2.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Leatt Corp worth?
The market values Leatt Corp at about $73.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $11.78; our models calculate a fair value of $9.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LEAT?
Our models span a range for Leatt Corp: cautious scenario $5.63, base $9.74, optimistic $14.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $11.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LEAT?
Leatt Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.74 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Leatt Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LEAT from its 52-week high?
Leatt Corp trades at $11.78, about 11% below its 52-week high of $13.30 and 38% above the low of $8.52 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Leatt Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value ANTA Sports Products Limited, Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Leatt Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $11.78, calculated fair value $9.74 (−17%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LEAT calculated?
We run Leatt Corp through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Leatt Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.78. Our model-based fair value is $9.74, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Leatt Corp right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($5.63 to $14.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Leatt Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
The market capitalisation of Leatt Corp is $73.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Leatt Corp is 1.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
Earnings per share at Leatt Corp are $0.6100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
The net margin of Leatt Corp is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Leatt Corp is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Leatt Corp is 12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
The operating margin of Leatt Corp is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
Revenue at Leatt Corp is growing +26.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Leatt Corp (LEAT)?
Earnings per share at Leatt Corp are growing +58.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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