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Leatt Corporation (LEAT) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $75.1M

LC Leatt Corporation logo Leatt Corporation LEAT · US
Price$13.30
Fair Value$9.88
Upside-25.7%
Quality69/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range $5.70 – $14.40 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +13.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($5.70 to $14.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$33.90 $5.49 Fair Value $9.88 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.49 – $33.90 · fair‑value band $5.70 – $14.40 · the $13.30 price screens above the $9.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Leatt Corporation (LEAT) currently trades at $13.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.88, implying the stock looks roughly 25.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Leatt Corporation generated revenue of $66.0M at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue grew 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.70 (bear case) to $14.40 (bull case); at $13.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -26%, LEAT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.19 $3.85 $4.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.16 $10.18 $15.62 74
ROIC Compounder $4.48 $4.76 $5.00 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.23 $4.02 $5.23 38
Owner Earnings $7.61 $11.43 $17.27 31
5Y Revenue Exit $6.16 $10.41 $16.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.95 $12.10 $18.89 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.33 $12.92 $19.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit $4.74 $7.99 $13.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.35 $9.07 $15.26 37
10Y P/E Exit $5.57 $9.60 $15.83 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.56 $18.98 $26.28 54
Lynch FV $5.23 $7.48 $9.72 50
PEG = 1.0 $5.23 $7.48 $9.72 46
EPV $4.48 $4.76 $5.00 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.64 $11.52 $14.40 63
P/S Multiple $6.68 $8.90 $11.13 58
P/B Multiple $6.68 $8.90 $11.13 55
EV/EBIT $11.13 $14.15 $17.16 53
EV/EBITDA $10.03 $12.68 $15.33 54
EV/Revenue $8.18 $10.80 $13.41 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.39 $4.54 $6.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.19 $3.85 $4.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.16 $10.18 $15.62 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.03 $5.15 $5.04 61
ROIC Compounder $4.48 $4.76 $5.00 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.92 $11.31 $14.70 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($11.31) versus Growth DCF ($3.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $66.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.9%
Net margin 5.9%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow $726K FY2025
P/E ratio 19.8
More key figures
Operating margin 11.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.6100
EPS growth (YoY) +58.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Leatt Corporation designs, develops, markets, and distributes personal protective equipment for participants of motor sports and leisure activities in South Africa and internationally. The company offers Leatt-Brace system, an injection molded neck protection system designed to prevent injuries to the cervical spine and neck.

Full company description

Leatt Corporation designs, develops, markets, and distributes personal protective equipment for participants of motor sports and leisure activities in South Africa and internationally. The company offers Leatt-Brace system, an injection molded neck protection system designed to prevent injuries to the cervical spine and neck. It also provides helmets for head and brain protection; and body armor products, including chest protectors, full upper body protectors, upper body protection vests, back protectors, knee braces, knee and elbow guards, off-road motorcycle boots, and mountain biking shoes. In addition, the company offers other products, parts, and accessories, such as goggles and hydrations bags, as well as apparel items that comprise suits, jackets, jerseys, pants, shorts, socks, gloves, sunglasses, and bicycle components; and aftermarket support products; toolbelt, duffel, gear, and helmet bags; backpacks, hats, and hydration kits; and casual clothing and caps. Further, it acts as the original equipment manufacturer for personal protective equipment sold by other brands. The company's products are used by riders of motorcycles, bicycles, snowmobiles, and ATVs. It sells its products to customers through a network of distributors and retailers; and directs end consumers through digital channels and online store at leatt.com. The company was formerly known as Treadzone, Inc. and changed its name to Leatt Corporation in May 2005. Leatt Corporation was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Durbanville, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Leatt Corporation reported revenue of $61.9M in FY2025 versus $72.5M in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.3M in FY2025, compounding −28.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$61.9M
Latest YoY
+40.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY21 $72.5M
FY22 $76.3M
FY23 $47.2M
FY24 $44.0M
FY25 $61.9M
Net income −28.6%/yr
FY21 $12.6M
FY22 $10.0M
FY23 $803K
FY24 −$2.2M
FY25 $3.3M

LEAT screens 26% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leatt Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LEAT

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.78× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.14× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 103.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 37 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 HK$74.15 HK$119.29 +61%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$160.20 HK$227.30 +42%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $36.44 $16.16 -56%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $81.55 $83.38 +2%
Life Time Group LTH $42.15 $16.15 -62%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $114.78 $37.79 -67%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.80 HK$29.26 +98%
Benefit Systems S.A BFT 5,255 PLN 3,714 PLN -29%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥37.82 ¥39.17 +4%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 145.70 kr 41.90 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Leatt Corporation (LEAT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.88 versus a price of $13.30, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LEAT?
Our model-based fair value for Leatt Corporation is $9.88 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.30.
What is the quality score of LEAT?
Leatt Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Leatt Corporation (LEAT)?
Leatt Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $66.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LEAT?
The net profit margin of Leatt Corporation is about 5.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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