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Legence Corp (LGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $12.1B

LC Legence Corp logo Legence Corp LGN · US
Price$63.57
Fair Value$11.13
Upside-82.5%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.00 – $16.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $20.22 to $11.13 (−45.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.00 to $16.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (11 months)

$102.27 $29.72 Fair Value $11.13 Sep 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range $29.72 – $102.27 · fair‑value band $6.00 – $16.27 · the $63.57 price screens above the $11.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Legence Corp (LGN) currently trades at $63.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.13, implying the stock looks roughly 82.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Legence Corp generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue grew 105.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.2%. Net debt stands at $724M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.00 (bear case) to $16.27 (bull case); at $63.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 136% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -82%, LGN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $34.82 $73.60 $151.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF $11.58 $28.09 $56.69 74
ROIC Compounder $1.24 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $37.66 $65.16 $152.71 38
5Y Revenue Exit $11.58 $23.19 $46.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.39 $39.14 $77.25 41
10Y Revenue Exit $18.85 $42.34 $55.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $25.01 $58.83 $118.15 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $1.24 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.05 $11.49 $16.93 53
EV/EBITDA $11.96 $19.37 $26.78 54
EV/Revenue $0.7300 $5.44 $10.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.55 $3.42 $5.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $34.82 $73.60 $151.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF $11.58 $28.09 $56.69 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $1.24 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($42.34) versus Asset-Based ($3.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +105%
Net margin -0.7%
Return on equity -7.2%
Free cash flow $219M FY2025
Operating margin 3.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3300
Net debt $724M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Legence Corp. provides engineering, installation, and maintenance services for mission-critical systems in buildings in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Engineering & Consulting, and Installation & Maintenance.

Full company description

Legence Corp. provides engineering, installation, and maintenance services for mission-critical systems in buildings in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Engineering & Consulting, and Installation & Maintenance. The Engineering & Consulting segment designs HVAC and other MEP systems for buildings, develops strategies to help reduce energy usage and make buildings more sustainable and provides program and project management services for client's installation and retrofit projects. This segment also offers engineering & design and program and project management services. The Installation & Maintenance segment fabricates and installs HVAC systems, process piping and other MEP systems in new and existing industrial, commercial and institutional buildings and provides ongoing preventative and corrective maintenance services, emergency repair, and break-fix services, as well as facility energy analysis, automation, optimization, and system certification and testing. It serves data centers, technology, life sciences, healthcare, education, mixed-use, state and local government, and other markets. The company was founded in 1914 and is based in San Jose, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Legence Corp reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2022, a compound +27.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$59.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.6B
Latest YoY
+21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+27.0%
Revenue +27.0%/yr
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $2.6B
Net income
FY22 −$82.3M
FY23 −$46.0M
FY24 $9.7M
FY25 −$59.8M

LGN screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Legence Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LGN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 832 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 105% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 30.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 55.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 54.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 100 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Enka Insaat ve Sanayi A.S., ENKAI 86.35 TRY 6.56 TRY -92%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Legence Corp (LGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.13 versus a price of $63.57, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LGN?
Our model-based fair value for Legence Corp is $11.13 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $63.57.
What is the quality score of LGN?
Legence Corp has a Quality Score of 48/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Legence Corp (LGN)?
Legence Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LGN?
The net profit margin of Legence Corp is about -0.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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