Lingotes (LGT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lingotes €5.04, price €5.60, upside -10.0%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.34 – €10.58 · fair‑value band €1.96 – €7.66 · the €5.60 price screens above the €5.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Lingotes Especiales, S.A., together with its subsidiary, Frenos y Conjuntos, engages in the design, development, casting, machining, and assembly of grey and spheroidal iron parts in rest of Europe, Africa, and internationally. The company also offers brake discs and spare parts.
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Lingotes Especiales, S.A., together with its subsidiary, Frenos y Conjuntos, engages in the design, development, casting, machining, and assembly of grey and spheroidal iron parts in rest of Europe, Africa, and internationally. The company also offers brake discs and spare parts. It serves OEMs and suppliers of automotive systems; and industrial and agricultural vehicle, civil works, and submarine wiring, sectors. The company exports its products to the European Union, Turkey, and Morocco. Lingotes Especiales, S.A. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Valladolid, Spain.
Stock analysis
Lingotes (LGT) currently trades at €5.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.04, implying the stock looks roughly 11.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €4.24 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the €5.60 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €0.6000, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.96 (bear) to €7.66 (bull), the price of €5.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Lingotes reported revenue of €79.5M in FY2025 versus €85.5M in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€246K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €56.0M · P/S ratio 0.66 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0200 · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin −0.5% · Revenue (TTM) €85.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −10%, LGT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.96Fair Value €5.04Bull €7.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.5% (2020) → −1.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.49× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lingotes Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LGT
Frequently asked questions
Is Lingotes (LGT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.04 versus a price of €5.60, about −10% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LGT?
Our model-based fair value for Lingotes is €5.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.60.
What is the quality score of LGT?
Lingotes has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lingotes (LGT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.96, optimistic scenario €7.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lingotes stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.04, about −10% upside versus a price of €5.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.96, optimistic scenario €7.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lingotes (LGT)?
Lingotes reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €85.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lingotes (LGT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lingotes would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LGT use?
Our models discount Lingotes at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for Spain. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lingotes that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lingotes (LGT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lingotes grew -2.6 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lingotes (LGT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lingotes (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lingotes (LGT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.19 %: that much free cash flow Lingotes produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lingotes (LGT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lingotes it is €5.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €5.60. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lingotes stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LGT trades above its calculated fair value: price €5.60, fair value €5.04, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LGT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.04). For Lingotes the two are €0.5600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lingotes worth?
The market values Lingotes at about €56.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €5.60; our models calculate a fair value of €5.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LGT?
Our models span a range for Lingotes: cautious scenario €1.96, base €5.04, optimistic €7.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €5.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of LGT?
The PEG ratio of Lingotes is 12.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lingotes (LGT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lingotes (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LGT from its 52-week high?
Lingotes trades at €5.60, about 11% below its 52-week high of €6.26 and 15% above the low of €4.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lingotes?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lingotes stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €5.60, calculated fair value €5.04 (−10%), Quality Score 38/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LGT calculated?
We run Lingotes through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lingotes itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lingotes (LGT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €5.60. Our model-based fair value is €5.04, about −10% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lingotes right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€1.96 to €7.66). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Lingotes (LGT) come from?
Earnings per share at Lingotes grew −11.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.4 %, EBIT margin −11.7 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Lingotes
How large is the market capitalisation of Lingotes (LGT)?
The market capitalisation of Lingotes is €56.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lingotes (LGT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lingotes is 0.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lingotes (LGT)?
Earnings per share at Lingotes are €−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lingotes (LGT)?
The net margin of Lingotes is −0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lingotes (LGT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lingotes is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lingotes (LGT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lingotes is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lingotes (LGT)?
The operating margin of Lingotes is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lingotes (LGT)?
Revenue at Lingotes is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lingotes (LGT)?
Earnings per share at Lingotes are growing −84.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lingotes (LGT) carry?
The net debt of Lingotes is €36.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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