Livium Ltd (LIT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Livium Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Below-average quality, and trading another 18% above our fair value of A$0.0068.
As of Aug 23, 2026, the fair value of Livium Ltd is A$0.0068 per share against a price of A$0.0080, so the fair value sits 15% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −11.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0070). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0065 to A$0.0070), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0070 – A$0.1500 · fair‑value band A$0.0065 – A$0.0070 · the A$0.0080 price screens above the A$0.0068 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Livium Ltd (LIT) currently trades at A$0.0080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0068, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Livium Ltd generated revenue of A$5.9M at a net margin of −10.9%. Revenue declined 27.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −8.9%. Net debt stands at A$2.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Scenario range: A$0.0065 (bear) to A$0.0070 (bull), the price of A$0.0080 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −15%, LIT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Livium Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mineral exploration and technology development activities. The company operates through Battery Recycling, Lithium Chemicals, and Battery Materials segments.
Full company description
Livium Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in mineral exploration and technology development activities. The company operates through Battery Recycling, Lithium Chemicals, and Battery Materials segments. The company researches and develops processing technologies for mixed-battery recycling, as well as sells recovered energy metals; and researches, develops, and produces battery materials, including lithium ferro phosphate and lithium manganese ferro phosphate. The company also researches and develops a suite of extraction and refining technologies for the recovery of lithium chemicals from various materials, including lithium micas and spodumene; and offers end-of-life solutions for batteries. The company was formerly known as Lithium Australia Limited and changed its name to Livium Ltd in October 2024. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Kew, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Livium Ltd reported revenue of A$6.9M in FY2025 versus A$1.2M in FY2021, a compound +55.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.6M in FY2025.
LIT screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 167 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Valuation of the Australia market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $218.99 | $128.02 | −42% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $221.63 | $120.63 | −46% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$230.52 | C$78.67 | −66% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €31.56 | €23.26 | −26% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $311.81 | $154.01 | −51% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$57.62 | C$44.27 | −23% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €11.30 | €7.30 | −35% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.67 | ¥5.27 | −21% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥14.86 | ¥20.95 | +41% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.60 | A$1.18 | −55% |
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Frequently asked questions
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