LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD $6.03, price $2.98, upside +102.4%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9900 – $12.54 · fair‑value band $4.51 – $7.89 · the $2.98 price screens below the $6.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd., an online retail company, provides various lifestyle products directly to consumers in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company sells apparel and other general merchandise products; and focuses on the apparel design activities. It also offers logistics services.
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LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd., an online retail company, provides various lifestyle products directly to consumers in Europe, North America, and internationally. The company sells apparel and other general merchandise products; and focuses on the apparel design activities. It also offers logistics services. The company provides its products through its websites, other online platforms, mobile applications, and other supplemental online platforms to third-party sellers, companies, and individual customers. LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB) currently trades at $2.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.03, implying the stock looks roughly 50.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $8.17 per share, and 19 of the 20 models we run sit above the $2.98 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.35, and 1 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.51 (bear) to $7.89 (bull), the price of $2.98 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD reported revenue of $225M in FY2025 versus $446M in FY2021, a compound −15.7%/yr. Reported net income was $8.3M in FY2025, compounding −10.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $55.7M · P/E ratio 4.9 · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) $0.6000 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity −221% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.7% · Operating margin 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 102%, LITB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.51Fair Value $6.03Bull $7.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4405 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.6% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+24.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 3%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Retail · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+102% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)4.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.24× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF9.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA2.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG18.57× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100· sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)53· sector 55
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LITB
Frequently asked questions
Is LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.03 versus a price of $2.98, about +102% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LITB?
Our model-based fair value for LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is $6.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.98.
What is the quality score of LITB?
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.03 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.51, optimistic scenario $7.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.03, about +102% upside versus a price of $2.98 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.51, optimistic scenario $7.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $229M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LITB use?
Our models discount LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD grew -10.8 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.63 %: that much free cash flow LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD it is $6.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.98. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LITB trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.98, fair value $6.03, a gap of about +102% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LITB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.03). For LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD the two are $3.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD worth?
The market values LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD at about $55.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.98; our models calculate a fair value of $6.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LITB?
Our models span a range for LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD: cautious scenario $4.51, base $6.03, optimistic $7.89 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LITB?
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 18.6, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
What is the PEG ratio of LITB?
The PEG ratio of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is 18.57 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
Balance-sheet figures for LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LITB from its 52-week high?
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD trades at $2.98, about 22% below its 52-week high of $3.82 and 76% above the low of $1.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Amazon.com, Inc, Alibaba Group, MercadoLibre, Inc, DoorDash, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.98, calculated fair value $6.03 (+102%), Quality Score 70/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LITB calculated?
We run LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD currently trades 102 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $2.98. Our model-based fair value is $6.03, about +102% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
How large is the market capitalisation of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
The market capitalisation of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is $55.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is 0.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
Earnings per share at LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD are $0.6000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
The net margin of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is −221% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is −3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
The operating margin of LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
Revenue at LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD is growing +10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB)?
Earnings per share at LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD are growing +940% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD (LITB) hold?
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD holds more cash than debt, $20.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026