Litium AB (LITI) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 225M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +5.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Our model range runs from kr 7.77 (bear) to kr 12.47 (bull), base kr 10.12. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 7.32 – kr 24.30 · fair‑value band kr 7.77 – kr 12.47 · the kr 12.30 price screens above the kr 10.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Litium AB (LITI) currently trades at kr 12.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 10.12, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Litium AB generated revenue of 98.9M SEK at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue grew 25.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 16.4M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 7.77 (bear case) to kr 12.47 (bull case); at kr 12.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -18%, LITI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 14.28) versus Asset-Based (kr 3.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Litium AB (publ) provides solutions for digital commerce through the litium commerce cloud platform in Sweden. The company's products comprise Lithium Ehandel, CMS, PIM, and accelerator, as well as other apps and integrations. It offers its products for B2B, B2C, Brands, D2C, etail, manufacturing, retail, and wholesale segments.
Full company description
Litium AB (publ) provides solutions for digital commerce through the litium commerce cloud platform in Sweden. The company's products comprise Lithium Ehandel, CMS, PIM, and accelerator, as well as other apps and integrations. It offers its products for B2B, B2C, Brands, D2C, etail, manufacturing, retail, and wholesale segments. The company provides solutions such as litium campaigns for growth, customer portal, e-commerce platform for B2B, ERP integration, headless, internationalization, omnichannel, personalization, and security services. Litium AB (publ) was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Litium AB reported revenue of kr 81.8M in FY2025 versus kr 57.9M in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 3.3M in FY2025.
LITI screens 18% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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