Litium AB (publ) (LITI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Litium AB (publ) SEK 18.51, price SEK 10.25, upside +80.5%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 7.32 – kr 24.30 · fair‑value band kr 10.58 – kr 28.59 · the kr 10.25 price screens below the kr 18.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Litium AB (publ) provides solutions for digital commerce through the litium commerce cloud platform in Sweden. The company's products comprise Lithium Ehandel, CMS, PIM, and accelerator, as well as other apps and integrations. It offers its products for B2B, B2C, Brands, D2C, etail, manufacturing, retail, and wholesale segments.
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Litium AB (publ) provides solutions for digital commerce through the litium commerce cloud platform in Sweden. The company's products comprise Lithium Ehandel, CMS, PIM, and accelerator, as well as other apps and integrations. It offers its products for B2B, B2C, Brands, D2C, etail, manufacturing, retail, and wholesale segments. The company provides solutions such as litium campaigns for growth, customer portal, e-commerce platform for B2B, ERP integration, headless, internationalization, omnichannel, personalization, and security services. Litium AB (publ) was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Litium AB (publ) (LITI) currently trades at kr 10.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 18.51, implying the stock looks roughly 44.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 19.82 per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the kr 10.25 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 3.98, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 10.58 (bear) to kr 28.59 (bull), the price of kr 10.25 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Litium AB (publ) reported revenue of 81.8M SEK in FY2025 versus 57.9M SEK in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −3.3M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 225M SEK (≈ $22.7M) · P/S ratio 2.14 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.1200 · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.3% · Operating margin −3.4% · Revenue (TTM) 105M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 81%, LITI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 10.58Fair Value kr 18.51Bull kr 28.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−37.1% (2020) → −3.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+81% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth28% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Litium AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LITI
Frequently asked questions
Is Litium AB (publ) (LITI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 18.51 versus a price of kr 10.25, about +81% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LITI?
Our model-based fair value for Litium AB (publ) is kr 18.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 10.25.
What is the quality score of LITI?
Litium AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 18.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 10.58, optimistic scenario kr 28.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Litium AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 18.51, about +81% upside versus a price of kr 10.25 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 10.58, optimistic scenario kr 28.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
Litium AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 105M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Litium AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by -6.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LITI use?
Our models discount Litium AB (publ) at 8.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.52, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Litium AB (publ) that is -6.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Litium AB (publ) (LITI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Litium AB (publ) grew +11.1 % a year. The price currently implies -6.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Litium AB (publ) (LITI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Litium AB (publ) (-6.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.38 %: that much free cash flow Litium AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Litium AB (publ) it is kr 18.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 10.25. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Litium AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LITI trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 10.25, fair value kr 18.51, a gap of about +81% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LITI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 10.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 18.51). For Litium AB (publ) the two are kr 8.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Litium AB (publ) worth?
The market values Litium AB (publ) at about 225M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 10.25; our models calculate a fair value of kr 18.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LITI?
Our models span a range for Litium AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 10.58, base kr 18.51, optimistic kr 28.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 10.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Litium AB (publ) (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LITI from its 52-week high?
Litium AB (publ) trades at kr 10.25, about 36% below its 52-week high of kr 15.90 and at the low of kr 10.25 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 18.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Litium AB (publ)?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Litium AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 10.25, calculated fair value kr 18.51 (+81%), Quality Score 42/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LITI calculated?
We run Litium AB (publ) through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 18.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Litium AB (publ) currently trades 81 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 10.25. Our model-based fair value is kr 18.51, about +81% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Litium AB (publ) right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 10.58). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (kr 10.58 to kr 28.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Litium AB (publ)
How large is the market capitalisation of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
The market capitalisation of Litium AB (publ) is 225M SEK (≈ $22.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Litium AB (publ) is 2.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
Earnings per share at Litium AB (publ) are kr −0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
The net margin of Litium AB (publ) is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Litium AB (publ) is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Litium AB (publ) is −6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
The operating margin of Litium AB (publ) is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
Revenue at Litium AB (publ) is growing +28.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Litium AB (publ) (LITI)?
Earnings per share at Litium AB (publ) are growing +453% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Litium AB (publ) (LITI) hold?
Litium AB (publ) holds more cash than debt, 16.4M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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