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Live Ventures Incorporated (LIVE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $31.6M

LV Live Ventures Incorporated logo Live Ventures Incorporated LIVE · US
Price$9.63
Fair Value$6.42
Upside-33.4%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range $4.58 – $15.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($4.58 to $15.43). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$70.74 $6.73 Fair Value $6.42 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.73 – $70.74 · fair‑value band $4.58 – $15.43 · the $9.63 price screens above the $6.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Live Ventures Incorporated (LIVE) currently trades at $9.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.42, implying the stock looks roughly 33.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Live Ventures Incorporated generated revenue of $438M at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at $208M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.58 (bear case) to $15.43 (bull case); at $9.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -33%, LIVE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $53.17 $96.12 $172.57 80
Residual Income $39.32 $57.35 $292.79 76
Rev-Margin DCF $39.15 $95.09 $183.13 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $58.30 $90.83 $185.73 38
Owner Earnings $110.84 $239.57 $464.24 31
5Y Revenue Exit $39.15 $80.29 $163.26 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $76.85 $158.27 $313.58 41
5Y P/E Exit $82.70 $207.09 $373.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit $43.48 $102.82 $146.99 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $68.30 $168.86 $355.08 37
10Y P/E Exit $71.91 $179.09 $367.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $50.35 $351.12 $492.75 54
Lynch FV $120.40 $172.00 $223.60 50
PEG = 1.0 $120.40 $172.00 $223.60 46
EPV $3.09 $6.18 $8.69 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7300 $1.23 $1.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7300 $1.16 $1.32 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $122.17 $162.89 $203.61 63
P/S Multiple $94.40 $125.87 $157.34 58
P/B Multiple $93.08 $124.11 $155.13 55
EV/EBIT $50.87 $75.38 $99.89 53
EV/EBITDA $90.25 $127.89 $165.52 54
EV/Revenue $26.91 $48.15 $69.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.51 $20.79 $31.03 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $53.17 $96.12 $172.57 80
Rev-Margin DCF $39.15 $95.09 $183.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $39.32 $57.35 $292.79 76
ROIC Compounder $3.09 $6.18 $8.69 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $160.71 $229.59 $298.46 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($229.59) versus Dividend Discount ($1.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $438M
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.8%
Net margin 0.9%
Return on equity 4.3%
Free cash flow $21.0M FY2025
Operating margin 2.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.09
EPS growth (YoY) -70.3%
Net debt $208M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Live Ventures Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the flooring and steel manufacturing, and retail businesses in the United States. It operates in five segments: Retail-Entertainment, Retail-Flooring, Flooring Manufacturing, Steel Manufacturing, and Corporate and Other.

Full company description

Live Ventures Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the flooring and steel manufacturing, and retail businesses in the United States. It operates in five segments: Retail-Entertainment, Retail-Flooring, Flooring Manufacturing, Steel Manufacturing, and Corporate and Other. The Retail-Entertainment segment provides a selection of entertainment products, including new and pre-owned movies, video games, and music products, as well as ancillary products, such as books, comics, toys, and collectibles. This segment also offers services to customers, such as rentals, special orders, disc, video game hardware repair, and other services. The Retail-Flooring segment retails and installs flooring, carpeting, and countertops to consumers, builders, and contractors. The Steel Manufacturing segment manufactures pre-finished de-carb free tool and die steel comprising deluxe alloy plate, deluxe tool steel plate, precision ground flat stock, and drill rod; industrial knives and hardened wear products for the tissue, metals, and wood industries, as well as for in-house grinding, machining, and heat-treating; manufactures and supplies engineered parts and components to various industries, such as appliance, automotive, hardware, electrical, electronic, medical products, and devices; and offers specialized fabricated metal products, including cable racks, auxiliary framing, hardware, insulation products, and network bays. It serves steel distributors and steel service centers. The Flooring Manufacturing segment manufactures and distributes carpets and rugs, yarn, and hard-surface flooring products focusing on the residential, niche commercial, and hospitality end-markets. This segment serves flooring dealers, home centers, other flooring manufacturers, and directly to commercial end-users. The Corporate and Other segment provides product and service for new customers. Live Ventures Incorporated was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Live Ventures Incorporated reported revenue of $445M in FY2025 versus $273M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was $22.7M in FY2025, compounding −7.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$445M
Latest YoY
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.1%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 $273M
FY22 $287M
FY23 $355M
FY24 $473M
FY25 $445M
Net income −7.6%/yr
FY21 $31.2M
FY22 $24.7M
FY23 −$102K
FY24 −$26.7M
FY25 $22.7M

LIVE screens 33% overvalued. Compare with The Home Depot, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Live Ventures Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIVE

Peer Group

Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 11
PAST 17 · sector 30
HEALTH 59 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $337.74 $236.85 -30%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $209.66 $186.32 -11%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$92.80 A$50.50 -46%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $56.40 $32.81 -42%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.70 MYR 1.47 MYR -14%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.65 THB 6.31 THB -5%
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 7.50 THB 5.96 THB -21%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.86 THB 2.90 THB -25%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $25.66 $22.53 -12%
Test-Rite International Co 2908 22.00 TWD 9.18 TWD -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Live Ventures Incorporated (LIVE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.42 versus a price of $9.63, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LIVE?
Our model-based fair value for Live Ventures Incorporated is $6.42 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.63.
What is the quality score of LIVE?
Live Ventures Incorporated has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Live Ventures Incorporated (LIVE)?
Live Ventures Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $438M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LIVE?
The net profit margin of Live Ventures Incorporated is about 0.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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