LKCRU Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $237M
LKCRU
LKCRU · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $11.36 to $4.78 (−57.9%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A strong business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.59 to $12.92). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.5881 – $8.00 · fair‑value band $3.59 – $12.92 · the $7.26 price screens above the $4.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
LKCRU (LKCRU) currently trades at $7.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.78, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, LKCRU generated revenue of $225M at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue declined 33.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $14.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.59 (bear case) to $12.92 (bull case); at $7.26, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -34%, LKCRU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($23.60) versus Asset-Based ($3.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lake Area Corn Processors, LLC, through its subsidiary, Dakota Ethanol, L.L.C., owns and manages an ethanol plant in South Dakota. It produces and distributes fuel grade ethanol for use as an octane enhancer in fuels, an oxygenated fuel additive for reducing ozone and carbon monoxide vehicle emissions, and a non-petroleum-based gasoline substitute.
Full company description
Lake Area Corn Processors, LLC, through its subsidiary, Dakota Ethanol, L.L.C., owns and manages an ethanol plant in South Dakota. It produces and distributes fuel grade ethanol for use as an octane enhancer in fuels, an oxygenated fuel additive for reducing ozone and carbon monoxide vehicle emissions, and a non-petroleum-based gasoline substitute. The company also provides co-products of the ethanol, such as distiller grains, which are used as animal feed supplement for the dairy, poultry, swine, and beef industries; and corn oil that is used as animal feed, as well as for industrial use and biodiesel production. It sells ethanol and related products to customers located in North America. Lake Area Corn Processors, LLC was founded in 1999 and is based in Wentworth, South Dakota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years
LKCRU reported revenue of $280M in FY2023 versus $116M in FY2019, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was $42.4M in FY2023.
LKCRU screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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